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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, definitely just beyond me and SW to just beyond Lowell is about the extent to the CP...once you get past Lowell and my spot in east Methuen, the marine influence dies a quick death.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    East of the ORH hills is the CP....or in cruder terms, east of the western I 495 belt.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I added to it....get outta my head.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, exact same page...I have been saying Xmas week...not that it isn't serviceable before, but I wouldn't advise holding by breath during a "serviceable" pattern on the heels of an ugly one...at least not on the SNE CP, anyway.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup. Something about him irks me....every weather system, whether its an airmass or a storm, is "moving over the top of us"....listen to that tool bag.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wankum displayed an image of the 8-14 day anomaly map from the CPC, which had reds over the mid section of the country and said something to the effect of "this looks poised to move over our area thereafter, so a white xmas looks doubtful". I swear these guys get too comfy and complacent in addition to being conditioned to over simplify everything, which fosters bad habits.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Raindance hasn't been good eith the NAO.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think I have seen any calling for a below normal season in the NE. Any guess as to why such a bright forecaster has amassed all of 331 followers on Twitter over the course 8+ years? Must be his sunny disposition and courteous manner of interaction.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    My weighted analog composite is all of the 6 snowiest seasons in New Mexico minus one snowy eastern season to "fix" it.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    92mb gradient. Sure.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure, you can pull it off in Wilmington...all I'm saying is that there is a bit more marine influence there.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Heavy sarcasm
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure ...it impacts cold production in the short term.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I still don't think it makes it, but it shouldn't really matter...we aren't far apart.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is like .6 to .7 for next update and probably peaking at like 1.1 to 1.2
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    mreaves with the hammer today.....spiked maple syrup?
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    First in-season blog probably imminent this week.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I probably did okay where I am now relative to where I was in that second one.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    NE wind here isn't as big a deal as it is a bit further south in Wilmington, as the angle of the coast is sharper with latitude.....its the east and SE winds, like these first couple events, that still kill me this far north.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't rule it out.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the first nice winter period for the east will coincide with that final el Nino flex later in December, as the MJO constructively interferes with its development while in phases 8, 1 and 2.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    MEI should have a good jump this month.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    No need to bore him because I'm sure he knows that cold winter time MJO phases are warm in the fall.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would say our areas have equal chances...my latitude helps, but I'm also closer to the ocean....though with a good high placement, my area may have a slight edge.
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