Enjoy, man....sucks. I was looking forward to it. If he comes and is doing okay and we get him settled in, maybe a I can sneak away for a bit, but doubtful.
Yea, good post and agreed.
This also bodes well for January IMO, as we all remember the favorable period in January 2016. Of course, if the activity remains south of me again, I'll quit weather, but that is a discussion for another day.
So, as much as this sucks, I don't think I am going to make it....my son is really sick and mom is taking him home from Uganda. They arrive tomorrow....too bad it got moved up from today, but I understand why and agreed with the decision.
Gotta admit, that was impressive...especially since I got to experience it in Chelsea....winds do not seem to have been impressive at home....shocker. I have blogged about some tropical systems that were not that impressive. I will continue to take the under on wind 9/10 times, but yesterday was that one out of ten.
Blocking looks more significant in 1952...but like I said, I am sure it's a combination. I have never denied CC....you are just more aggressive with attribution than I am. This is the reason I like to use 1951-2010 climo for analog composites...no question global heights are greater now.
I did not evade your point. I said I agree with that, however, I don't feel as though piggy backing off of the post of a dude implying that anyone expecting a pattern change has not learned anything from last year was the proper context. Using last season as a learning experience while appreciating the difference between this year and last are not mutually exclusive.
Now drop it.
What is your point? It won out quite a bit from 2009 to 2011, as well. Its mindless....if suggesting persistence, bring something to the table as to why instead of simply weening folks that are simply offering data.
Wouldn't the huge +EPO have something to do with that? I feel like that was more anomalous than the early month NAO, just like the PNA was more anomalous than the NAO last year. And yes, I am sure some of it maybe due to CC, but its more than that IMO.
Debate is one thing, just automatically being dismissive is another. Plenty of folks like @Allsnowand @bluewavethat view things differently that I have had great discussions with. But the crap being offered by this persistence crowd is another thing entirely. Someone simply mentions that the long range looks more wintery shouldn't be met with "haven't you learned anything"...that is simply close minded, incendiary crap. Now, if you want to put the breaks on and suggest that perhaps guidance may be rushing the retrograde of the Canadian ridging....then sure. Possible.