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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The thing is that the PV is starting weaker than last year and the -NAO is already prevalent, so it may not take foreever and day reap benefits.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had my mind made up on a 12/25 to 1/8 SSW back in August, when I did my solar research and looked at el Nino SSW analogs. Believe. Why is a warm December news again? Why are people acting like this is a some shocking development? Yea, a warm December in an el Nino....go figure, must be CC.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think anyone is arguing the pattern now doesn't suck, which isn't unexpected. However, the blocking this early is a positive auger for the balance of the season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a raging Pac jet, so of course its mild. All the NAO does is trap the cold in place and block storms from cutting. Everyone agrees that if the PAC is crap, then it will be mild. But there is every reason to believe that heights will elevate near AK later this month.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    First of all, Raindance whiffed in the Arctic last year, secondly, I have had years where I "killed it", but that doesn't mean other years won't kill me. Again, no one is expecting a frigid season....its not a cold look this year, but it shouldn't be prohibitive to snowfall. The PDO will not be epic like last year. Do me a favor, and keep your deranged, neurotic BS in the tri state thread.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    No
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can do one when there is something to talk about
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Got to Clark's on the 19th...real festive vibe on the eve of a pattern shift.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....you are going to get sick no matter what you do. Having the sniffles isn't going to prompt me to cancel any plans. Just don't stick your tongue down anyone's throat and hope for the best.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jesus, glad I checked the thread .. .was gonna say I will be there at 3 instead of 2, but I guess we cancel.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    It seems like some folks are so emotionally fragile and dependent upon snow that they want a written guarantee of crystalized armageddon in their back yard. It doesn't work like that...all you can do is diagnose general features in the pattern and hope for the best. Any additional measures to safe guard against what we are observing in this forum at the very onset of met winter should be taken on the couch or zoom feed of a good therapist.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    What got pushed back last year? We got the huge block in December, regardless of of the fact that it didn't produce snow on the east coast. Again, we got the Feb SSW and resultant huge block in March, right on schedule. -PDO is fine as long as you aren't expecting a very cold eastern winter, which no one is. This will not be a prohibitively extreme-PDO list last year.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would....well, se MA could, but highly doubt interior sne.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly think that stetch... not the season, could rival 2011 and 1996 if things break right.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, good, apparently that may save winter.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe we don't cash in on it....depends on how it breaks, but we should see some big blocks IMO.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, you were lucky considering what happened in March.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We should see a block like that this year IMO. I know Chris would argue it has to be displaced southward now since 2015, so lets get that out of the way.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see what you talking about regarding concerns about the secondary getting going later. I wouldn't expect much there...maybe up to several inches.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay, well regardless, the idea that it would prevent the MJO from entering the Maratime phases was wrong.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyway, a supbar month of December during el Nino is certainly nothing new.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the IOD is rapidly weaking now FWIW...but I never said that, though I do recall it being said.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, I'll be on the couch engaged in fits of self-dialogue complete with response to internal stimuli. "its not going out to sea...(aggressive nod)...fu**king shit streaks and oes"
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