40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I think my December call was okay....my only regret is not including 2015 as an analog for December, however, I doubled up on it for January.
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Yes. Good post and same page. I remain hopeful post 20th.
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It still holds true and we are seeing some of that play out with these episodes of Maritime forcing....I articulated it as the atmospheric response not being as strong, but I think @bluewavedescribed it better with the phrase "competng forces". The tropical convection being so far west is what is causing this Maritime forcing that we will see again in January, but by February that should start to work in our favor by allowing the convection to translate closer to the dateline.
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Hazey just looping H5 to that sound bite and pounding his chest in his PJs
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I can't stop looping and laughing
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Maybe? Who knows?
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Let's December 1976 that bitch...
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Late trend like that is how January 2015 began.......the famous "Not Happening, James (RIP)".
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Even 1973 had a nice event in late January.
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Even 2007 and 1995 had nice stretches in February...I had a foot of snow in early Feb 1995. The only one that sucked through to the end was 1991-1992.
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I think that is locked in....not sure how we avoid the Maritime forcing...I don't buy the EURO COD crap.
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At least there is cold on the continent, which is a change.
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That would be soooo 1973 lol
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Hopefully I can fire up the first storm blog of the season over the holiday weekend.
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I feel like if I am right about this season, one of those will work out for at least a couple of inches for most.
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No, I think it should change by around the 20th, but if we are completely shutout into mid month, then that will be cause for concern. Its getting to the point where my antenna is up...I know some people think I am ACATT, but I will change my tune at some point if this were to continue through January. At some point, you just need to look at the scoreboard.
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Even 1973 got a couple of inches on the 3rd
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Looks like January 1987 got going on January 2 and 1966 on January 8th....2005 on the 5th, 2015 didn't have a significant event until the 20th, but got a couple of inches on the 3rd, so I would agree......def. want to get on the board by mid month
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He is implying January is over if we extended the pattern from early January throughout the rest of the month, which is a sentiment that I would probably agree with. But I don't feel that paradigm will persist through the entirety of the season.
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I called you a passive aggressive troll. Yes.
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Yes and I understand why CC makes it more difficult for the arctic to overcome a poor Pacific, but February is still the best bet in an El Nino season.
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Exactly. I have no issue with Snowman, aside from the fact that he seems to be partial about what info he reports
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Yes. The polar domain is the only aspect of that analog that I didn't like...otherwise, it was great.
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The Pacific jet is one pathway towards a ruined winter....I can appreciate that without expecting it. This is all I am asking of the other school of thought. Some folks here seem to be close minded.
