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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, it doesn't have to be warm, but its not a stock cold pattern like it is later in the season. I agree it shouldn't be too warm with the higher heights near AK all else equal...would be a welcome change.
  2. Correct. It changes in February, which likely plays into el Nino climo.
  3. I don't think I saw one seasonal forecast that wasn't mild in December for the NE.
  4. Nothing good IMO....gonna be an uphill battle with descending solar and high geomagnetic energy. Better hope we cash in this season and maaaaaybe next season because it will get lean for a few years IMO.
  5. 12/5 is what I consider open climo on big dog climo for SNE....through to about 3/31. Save the puns about the pattern...I get that it sucks. This is strictly climo.
  6. .86" last night, .24" since midnight...1.10" total.
  7. I was going to say that, but I figured just wait until we see it during winter.
  8. No surprises, but its clear the ONI will peak on the high end of my range.
  9. Maritime forcing isn't good.....west-central PAC near dateline is. It also varies by month.
  10. This is where you just need to default to the seasonal research allow guidance to ultimately confirm....or in the case of last January, deny lol
  11. Well, the disturbed PV idea isn't going away IMO.
  12. This actually better aligns with my preseason thoughts.....I was a bit worried that it could be a little colder than I had thought...could end up warmer by a bit...I had +1-3.
  13. Point being someone who can no longer be objective probably needs a break
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