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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. We could also just luck out given the placement of that ridge out west, despite the hostile polar fields....ensembles have that vibe....EPS and GEFS. Interesting to watch. Trough placement may make it tough to hug too much, despite the look up north.
  2. For all of the mocking of the NAO out of deference to the Pacific over the course of the last several years, this sequence is an illustration of the value of the NAO. That EURO OP output looks primed to bury upstate NY to me. Would be nice to lodge that PV a bit closer to Hudson Bay, as opposed to directly centered over Greeland...pretty hostile polar look there. The EPS is a little better. I realize OP runs are futile right now....just looking.
  3. That ridge is ideally placed out west.....only thing I don't love is a ridge also INVO 50/50....risks abound as far as track, but I understand the emphasis right now is on just sustaining a coherent storm signal. This storm today is precisely the type event that we usually get around xmas, so maybe somewhat of a different sequencing this year...we hope.
  4. The Modoki index really isn't very important with a weak event.
  5. Maybe they could be?? Gonna have to wait and see? Hope and pray?
  6. I'm right on the NH border in Methuen. I'll be in the hospital from Jan 3 through like the 7th, so book one then, too.
  7. Unless of course you are willing to risk injury to the grandchildren to drag the taboggan through the mud...like Ginxy lol
  8. The irony is that the immense preoccupation with CC that drives overattribution can also be interpreted as a lack of understanding.
  9. ...And all of the Sox new signings will be in rehab.
  10. Yes, I cleaned up in March 2018...agreed. Agreed on everything....I still think January deviates from that, but if I am wrong, I'll try to learn from why.
  11. Yea, once the pattern went to shit lol...congrats to me on being the meteorological slum lord of SNE. Usually in no-man's land, though...bent over by your area last decade, not HubbDave to Dendrite this decade.
  12. Getting 40" instead of 30" in a season does nothing for me...I'd rather not take the 12" dong to the face while everyone around me gets 2', but that's just me.
  13. I never said it would be January 2015....remain mindful of my expected seasonal totals and do the math.
  14. 12". Honestly, dude...you can have my string of 3" events the past several years in exchange for one HECS.....trade I'd gladly make.
  15. Its regression, dude...deal with it. How many CJ jackpots did you have last decade? Man, what a baby lol
  16. Because of the west Pacific, but its seems to have slackened a bit.
  17. Don't think it will, but if it does, oh well....I had decent snowfall in January 2022 and last January I had one of the best events of my life. I expect a shitty season overall, but just going to take whatever I can get.
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