40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I think they mean that in the really good seasons, you will catch some breaks in an imperfect stretch...so you have the "tenor" of the winter to consider, as well as the simple fact that it makes it easier to have a good season mathematically speaking because there is less ground for February to make up from a climatological snowfall standpoint.
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I'm just breaking your balls lol Nothing unreasonable about that. -
I look forward to that...hopefully at least one of them takes a vested interest instead of looking at me cross-eyed like the general populous God, just give one "the sickness" to take over the blog once I start drooling on myself lol
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Not really when you consider this wasn't a large scale event deeply rooted in a long wave signal...this is the type of system where little idiosyncrasies with respect to SW interactions have disproportionately large results on sensible appeal for many areas.
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I love that this will be a wet snow...my favorite type. Thankfully my 2 year old is recovering after a recent health scare and will be able to have him out with me while shoveling...sick children really put this shit into perspective.
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This is why NWS remains conservative until the last possible moment....there are subtle ebbs and flows in guidance that have relatively large impacts on sensible results and are not worth compromising consistency until very late in the game.
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Stunning that hopes for a foot+ event hinging on a last second hail mary of a SW capture didn't pan out...I am just floored. This has always looked like a nice, moderate snow....random higher end suites not withstanding.
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He takes kernels of truth and throws them into a blender.
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Will implied that week is crucial to how the winter will be perceived ie reaching the season's ceiling and I would agree. Its not necessary to avoid a ratter.
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Okay...yea, probably....I think my huge window begins on January 22 through 2/5, so....I don't expect any big dumps prior....hopefully we get lucky with something.
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There is a progression, though....it doesn't just appear over us via osmosis....it needs to move in and then move out. You know damn well the favored periods for large systems are during intervals of mass flux. Man, imagine how many weenies would be force fed anyone daring to project excitement over an hour 360 map showing a blizzard.
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So do I.....maybe the PV unceremoniously swings east and its cold and dry, but there is also a chance it drops into a decent SW.
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Mid month, which I have been advertising for like 2 months. No shock...
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Before we get there....sure.
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D-FENCE!!! "Close your eyes and repeat after me....its okay that it isn't going to snow and damn it my life still has value".....
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That us where I have been since Wednesday....the limited upside has that effect.
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That is how I feel...it will be a bit, but full stream ahead once closer to Feb.
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Just like the MJO was going to stall in phase 7 in December..its been progressive all season. Its going to pass through the MC mid month and be favorable again late month. 60s in late January and early February makes zero sense.
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I said the "past several years", as in the aggregate. That isn't disputable. And I would say last year was crap, but the previous year you had a 2 foot blizzard...I'll take some of that "crap".
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Its worked our more often than not for that area over the past several years.
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I'm happy with anything over 6".....so long as scooter and/or Kev or anyone within 20mi doesn't pull a 1'
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I don't see 14"...too high.
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I moved there and have gotten 30 met dongs in the rear.
