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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right...thanks. I literally had that a$$ backwards. Like I said....middle age and the offseason are a bad combo. I think the proprietary NARCAN maps from F5 are some sort of modified Kuchera product. There are a few instances when Kuchera can be fairly accurate when snow growth is ideal in a deformation zone, but that is not frequent...that is what I was thinking of.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its can be tricky though because sometimes models can underestimate height crashes with a rapidly intensifying system and that ideology can back-fire. You have to view each system individually, but more often than not, you are right.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get rusty sometimes in the offseason....are you implying Kuchera is best for the marginal events fraught with precipitation type issues?
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like NARCAN and positive depth change maps the best, unless in a deformation area, then you can weight Kuchera much more aggressively.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully DC grabs a few inches....I am anecdotally pulling this out of my rear, but I feel like a plowable December snowfall in DC would a good omen for the rest of winter.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never expected anything from the Monday deal, so no complaints on that.....I don't expect any snow here until Xmas and even that may be more up and in. It is what it is and you are right people are allowing the bitter IMBY residue to cloud the prism through which they view the rest of the season.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everyone read December as warm....it really wasn't a difficult call and shouldn't suprise anyone.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I may call out Monday...commute is going to be miserable.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Xmas threat is real.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think it will be frigid anywhere...but yea, below average from like DC southward.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I don't expect a particularly cold month in the mean.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly couldn't care any less about this one if I tried....completely disengaged and biding my time until the first system of relevance.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Name one person who didn't expect this? Lol This place is mind numbing.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    It like crying about a lame hurricane season on June 8th.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wasting what? Early to mid December climo blows big ones in most of SNE....always has.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll be on the edge if we make it past NY without an imminent threat. I'm good right now.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    All it would take if for the PV love to be a bit father north, or non existent.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just two months until warm car tushies.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I couldn't care less....keep your back side reach around from this thing.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take weekly talk any day. I wish this system would evaporate....all those SE winds are going to be strong enough to do is sweep my neighbor's leaves into my immaculate yard.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will, but climo or slightly above works in January.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    You know its a classic el Nino December when you log on and read two pages of wind related dialogue. Can't wait for Tuesday....
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right...which is why December 2015 was so much warmer....same page. I also expect a similar system to the January blizzard, though hopefully about 100mi further north
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is why I think January-February may play out like a somewhat milder version of 2003, where as the coast of SNE struggled in January and then cleaned up when joining the party in February.
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