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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not very hard to believe if you hadn't been dismissing the concept of RONI and MEI for the past 6 months. Many of us have been trying to tell you that this particular El Niño event would not be as prominent a hemispheric driver as the ONI would imply. That said, looks like a nice call by you regarding the ONI.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup. I never debated the -PDO flavor this year, but rather I was just harping on the idea that we can live with a pedestrian cold phase Pacific given favorable polar fields. We are about to see that play out.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Theme I am seeing emerge this month is the active N stream that I anticipated last fall as a result of the residual cool ENSO GLAAM. I like my spot this year.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's on the path back to reality.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here it comes, boys...no early spiking. Act like you've been there before.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That may JP me again.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think Feb 2013 was the most impressive display of snowfall and wind that I have seen....March 1993 for just wind and April 1997/March 2018 for just snowfall.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It wasn't that impressive in terms of snowfall for me, as I had like 15" before a flip to IP....but to this day I have never seen drifting in my area like I did in that. Drifts were several feet deep, which is unheard of in the wind pit that I live in ...Wilmington at the time.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Figured.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just wait on ensembles.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good news for you!!
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can always count on a @brooklynwx99home porn to warm the soul on a cold winter's day
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    4 to go!
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think much differently considering those archaic models were virtually locked on for nearly a week leading in. It was a such a strong signal.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course it is.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    You don't need to "start" anywhere....identification of a high ceiling doesn't speak to the probability of realization. That is the reader's issue.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    This site is such a PITA with attachments.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't need to in order to recognize which has a higher ceiling.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    The OP trend is for a later phase and the EPS trend is for a stronger phase...not a bad combo- piece.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Geez, OP Euro phases the whole PV lobe in...no wonder it does that on the 20th. Its doing it later than it was yesterday, which is a great trend for most of NE.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Days and days...
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the - NAO helps to "back" the flow and provide a reservoir, if you will. for all of that conserved energy to pool into beneath our latitude.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do....I was a junior in HS just before XMAS break...we were expecting 1-3" and they didn't even dismiss us early. I was doing donuts out in the parking lot with my old '86 cutlass Supreme....haha rearwheel drive FTW.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its something you would rather have in your corner because it also provides more margin for error with respect to track, but generally I agree.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just meant as an example shrouded in hyperbole of how you don't need blocking to be wintry....but it should come back, anyway.
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