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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't say to ignore that and automatically default to climo....what I said was to be exhaustive and consider everything. It was implied there was no reason to entertain a change and I gave a reason. Period.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    General el Nino climo is not significantly altered due to CC.....sure, hedge warmer on surface temps, but the fact that el Nino is more favorable in February is still valid. That is just idiotic to suggest otherwise....Omega is either a moron or a troll, and judging from the balance of his/her posts, its clearly the latter.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    This I agree with...I used this exact image in my blog yesterday.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    What a troll.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    He keeps blowing that off...I'm sorry, but this is the difference between passive aggressive trolling and good, objective analysis. If you are going to keep it real, then you need to acknowledge everything and be exhaustive.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, that is just keeping it real...its a tall task if we go that late with nothing to show.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Technical SSW in one thing, but I am not concerned in the least about the general strength of the PV over the balance of this season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same page.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am still killing mosquitos in my home.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Keep in mind when I say I feel great about the rest of the winter, I don't mean 2015...I mean near climo snowfall compressed onto about 60% of a season.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    My number one analog....my issue with 1972 was/is the polar domain.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, during the first half of January.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel great about the balance of this winter.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    My number one stretch is February 2015.....#2 is January 1996 and #3 January 2011.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    +PDO period, but also +NAO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, but it peaked insanely early...over the summer.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    1995-1996.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had it double-weighted in my composite, but this season is blockier.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think anyone every expected that in the first place.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    "Nickels and Dimes", as I recall...
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Would this help?
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Larry had a bad year last season, but he had been on a good run.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's his subjective opinion, which is fine...that isn't a right or wrong thing. Its about values...like some people have all of the money in the world, but never end up with a family and are miserable, anyway.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its almost analogous to those phycological profiles that you see on forensic shows....are those accurate profiles of the ultimate assailant "lucky guesses"?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes..an "educated" guess.
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