Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    72,462

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The only year that I can't really figure out is 1987-1988...it was ascending solar coming out of the min, yet had a +NAO in the DM aggregate. My best guess is that while the el Nino was basin-wide, it had a fairly strong tilt to the east. The AO was fairly strongly negative, though.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Trust me, I know. lol 12/8 Displacement.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its there in this form today
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The PDO was very negative in 1965-1966....take a look at that season, as its the best analog IMO....my main one. If you read my full report and still do not feel as though there is a relationship between vp and sensible weather, then I give up...not sure what else to tell you. I even emphasized years that did not behave as expected given the vp pattern, such as 2006-2007, and went into great detail as to why (solar).
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I weep for you.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wonder if Paul realizes that he is referring to this as a canonical, super el Nino and in the same breath anticipating a potential SSW....here is list of those events that featured a early strat warming.....ready, go: .................... You wonder at what point this will eventually register.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, you do realize I have been calling for peak ONI of 1.7 to 1.9, unabated, since June? Furthermore, considering the pending strat warming that even Paul is on board with, you should have a gander at the seasonal evolution of the composite of el Nino seasons that have featured a disturbed polar domain in December with forcing pinned near the Dateline. Get a grip...and a clue-
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perhaps Raindance can teach Don Sutherland to count?
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hot off of the presses, Donny Ballgame goes normal at Beantown for December.....I think even I am about +1 lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    About 96 hours.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    While I still highly doubt an ONI above 1.9, I agree that it doesn't really matter.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perfectly stated...Paul approached this with an archaic frame of mind...doesn't necessarily mean that he isn't brilliant, but rather human like the rest of us. That said, it doesn't mean wall-to-wall cold and snow, either. I agree with you that there will be some bouts of Maritime forcing.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This has to be one of the dumbest posts I have ever seen on these forums for a multitude of different reasons. God, you are a new kind of awful these days.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would consider first flakes a win, but even that seems dubious. Next two weeks are gravy.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Remember back in the good 'ole days, when you got a cold and life went on?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Who is getting there at 2? @WinterWolf@Ginx snewx?
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, wrong. Quite the opposite, high geomag corresponds to +NAO/+AO actually. Tony Pann is a weenie met just like Bastardi, Margavage, Margusity, Steve D and more recently Cosgrove Correct, that along with solar wind are linked to strong PV, but they both peak 1-3 years after solar max....this is why descending solar is hostile for winter.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Who is suprised at it being the 4th warmest?
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    December 1981 was great IMBY... big Miller B backed in and crushed ENE.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    We're all in agreement snow will be a tall task during the first two weeks of the month in SNE.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was actually able to find parking there before...not sure how I'll play it yet. I work right next door in Chelsea, so I may just drive in.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Phew....they could use it. Tough season last year pissing on my grave all winter.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could def. be a bit rushed initially....I actually think I explicitly mentioned that possibility in my write up, which would lead to angst after the last few seasons. I do not expect a case of it being denied, or incessant can kicking, though.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Welcome to last summer, Paul.
×
×
  • Create New...