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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chef's kiss of a statement. Largest issue plaguing this forum is the the dearth of capacity for nuanced thinking.....George is the perfect example, from one end of the spectrum to the other.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    2/10 on the suprise meter.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not happening.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    You wonder if at some point GW slows, too....perhaps some modifications being made in conjunction with natural variability. Just a thought before anyone jumps down my throat...I am not denying or disputing anything.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    They are....east coast has seen increased snowfall, but a decrease in snow cover days...larger storms, but less storms.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Aside from forecast verification purposes, it really doesn't matter how heavily the early season warmth skews the seasonal mean positive.....as long as its seasonal and active for January-February.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep...this is a point I have mentioned to @snowman19...we spend several months fighting tooth and nail over what ultimately amounts to 10" of snowfall and 1/10 of a degree Celsius in a strip of water in the tropical Pacific.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I am banking on in conjunction with the disturbed PV in order to avoid a yet another terd up here....more N stream response than is typical of an el Nino this strong.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same with la Nina...some of the Modoki la Nina events begin colder than east-based. 1976 was very weak, which leads to more variability because the season is more dictated by extra tropical forces.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    ABSOLUTELY. This is what I spent in inordinately large amount of time trying to communicate.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL Its a pretty reasonable take IMO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, I am hardly above climo...
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am already out on March, anyway...I expect an early spring....we could sneak in something the first week, but other than that....
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see that and its a risk....this is why I made a post last night to the effect of we will need to catch a break in January to end up with above average snowfall regionally.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup....like @bluewaveputs it..."competing forces". But I will say the STJ is pretty iron clad el Nino.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting take...this is probably why some of the -PDO years sucked in this area. We'll just have to hope that changes.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    The forcing from el Nino is so far west that it actually bolstered the warm December idea.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Now more like "got to get that off the driveway or it will met before I can make weenie snowbank piles"
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, its was a slightly toned down version of 1/7/1996 in that raked right up the coast....I got like 16" to the NW of Boston.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Precisely....and February 1983.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jerry, I think.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, you average 20"....you may get that in 10 hours between about Jan 25 and March 1.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    VENUS WAS ONCE EARTH-LIKE, BUT THEN THE MJO WENT INTO PHASE 5
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