Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    72,436

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You wonder if at some point GW slows, too....perhaps some modifications being made in conjunction with natural variability. Just a thought before anyone jumps down my throat...I am not denying or disputing anything.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    They are....east coast has seen increased snowfall, but a decrease in snow cover days...larger storms, but less storms.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Aside from forecast verification purposes, it really doesn't matter how heavily the early season warmth skews the seasonal mean positive.....as long as its seasonal and active for January-February.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep...this is a point I have mentioned to @snowman19...we spend several months fighting tooth and nail over what ultimately amounts to 10" of snowfall and 1/10 of a degree Celsius in a strip of water in the tropical Pacific.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I am banking on in conjunction with the disturbed PV in order to avoid a yet another terd up here....more N stream response than is typical of an el Nino this strong.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same with la Nina...some of the Modoki la Nina events begin colder than east-based. 1976 was very weak, which leads to more variability because the season is more dictated by extra tropical forces.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    ABSOLUTELY. This is what I spent in inordinately large amount of time trying to communicate.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL Its a pretty reasonable take IMO.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, I am hardly above climo...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am already out on March, anyway...I expect an early spring....we could sneak in something the first week, but other than that....
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see that and its a risk....this is why I made a post last night to the effect of we will need to catch a break in January to end up with above average snowfall regionally.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup....like @bluewaveputs it..."competing forces". But I will say the STJ is pretty iron clad el Nino.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting take...this is probably why some of the -PDO years sucked in this area. We'll just have to hope that changes.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The forcing from el Nino is so far west that it actually bolstered the warm December idea.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Now more like "got to get that off the driveway or it will met before I can make weenie snowbank piles"
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, its was a slightly toned down version of 1/7/1996 in that raked right up the coast....I got like 16" to the NW of Boston.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Precisely....and February 1983.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jerry, I think.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, you average 20"....you may get that in 10 hours between about Jan 25 and March 1.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    VENUS WAS ONCE EARTH-LIKE, BUT THEN THE MJO WENT INTO PHASE 5
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd hit it-
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Define rat....this isn't going the way of last year.....if anywhere in the lower terrain of Mass gets less snow than last year, then I'll shave "NorEastermass128" into my balls and post to social media.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Don't get ahead of yourself......the tropical season looks like it may be off of the charts and la Nina winters following high ACE seasons have been pretty kind to the east...even raindance will tell you that. A lot will depend on how quickly the solar wind picks up and distributes the geomagnetic energy following solar max...if that can hold off for one more year, we may be able to sneak it in before the run of +AO/NAO winters that comes with descending solar.
×
×
  • Create New...