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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'm honestly so exhausted by the past several seasons that I don't even care to engage deeply, or invest until I feel something worthwhile is literally imminent.
  2. Better for some...this one trended worse for you and it was all moot for me.
  3. The only options are to be Bluewave...god love him and how brilliant he is, but refrains from issuing a forecast beyond 2 weeks out....or to do a copious amount of research and hope to have long range guidance bare some similarities to the expectations based upon said research...that, to me, is different from blindly hugging a desired outcome. Long range forecasts are inherently prone to a large degree of error...no way around that.
  4. Don, what is the alternative? Refrain from long range forecasting?
  5. Looks like its picking up on the -WPO/EPO that should be predominate next month.
  6. Storm must have slipped a bit south of modeling.
  7. I had .16" in the gage and a a .01" coating. Jealous?
  8. Maybe some do? Others may move? We just don't know? Anything is possible?
  9. Some of the guidance hinted at the best lift going south and looks like it did. I would have been pissed if it had mattered.
  10. More like a branch....its the Charlie Brown xmas tree.
  11. Definitiely should have been a little more aggressive over the higher terrain of W NE, but it takes very anomalous conditions to scrore big of east of I 495 in early December....hedged that correctly.
  12. Yea, Janaury 7th is the only reason I'm not in a straight jacket.
  13. The holiday week may begin the transition, but we probably aren't seeing a significant snow event throughout the majority of SNE until 2025.
  14. Perhaps somewhat of a compromise, but the GFS probably has more of a grasp.
  15. I had about 0.1" when I left at around 5am.
  16. I will be pretty shocked if this doesn't happen....IDK if you glossed over any of my novel of an outlook, but pretty overwhelming evidence for the Jan 2022 mismatch. Just to be clear, I think overall this winter is another subpar season for most of the east coast.....just better than the past couple.
  17. I wouldn't include Chris in that....when it looked colder early month, he reported that. Its important to observe the behavior of a contributor during an instance in which the overwhelming perponderance of evidence goes against perceived bias.
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