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  2. BuildingScienceWx

    Super, Duper SWFE

    Snow picking up a bit in intensity, decent snow growth. 31/26. Coating down.
  3. donsutherland1

    January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat

    Light rain/snow mix in Larchmont in southern Westchester County.
  4. LakeEffectKing

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Well, the visibilities were pretty low at times....I'd wager that the band may have approached 2"/hr. at times....I could see 14" or so....but whatever....
  5. Bob Chill

    January/February Medium/Long Range Disco

    You're taking the wrong people seriously
  6. 5.5” and dumping 2mi NW of Newville, far NW Cumberland
  7. Syrmax

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    KBUF with the snowy xoxo’s for CNY_wx, Ty and me.
  8. mattny88

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Everybody go to jeremy kappel 945 pm facebook live page he is the rochester meteorologist who got fired from whec 10 news..he has some really great analysis and updates on the storm..his videos are usually always at least 15 minutes and he answers questions us weather ethusiasts may have..Highly recommend tuning in at 945
  9. Bob Chill

    January/February Medium/Long Range Disco

    Yes, we have a MUCH higher success rate with miller As. There's no comparison. A miller A with a good track and temps is guaranteed snow. Many good track miller Bs have left us with flurries. There's an inbetween version called a hybrid where a mature storm transfers from the TN valley to off the Carolinas. It's debateable which one it is. I consider it a miller A because the strom is already large and is simply making a jump to the barolclinic zone off the coast. Jan 2016 did that as have many others. That's very different than a weak system in the northern stream that doesn't even become a strong storm until off the coast and rapidly deepens. Our latitude is our worst enemy with that but SNE and even Philly has had countless big hits with those. I don't know about specifics for the SE but if we have a -ao/nao our region can do very good with a -pna. Higher risk of a nw track but CAD out in front can work great here. One of the snowiest winters in the mid atlantic back in the 60s was predominately a -pna but the blocking forced multiple storms far enough south and it was a great year. I'm totally good with what the 18z gefs showed. This mslp panel says it all. Strong CAD signal way out in time.
  10. I'm on the southern edge of Lawrence County, and it's all rain here right now. Those heavy bands must be more north than the SPC's map shows.
  11. Drummer230

    January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion

    I am! Some flurries here so far.
  12. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Yep, looks like a max of 0.68 around the Gary vicinity. Fairly widespread 10"+ amounts in the core of Lake County. Chicago proper even cashes in around 4-6".
  13. WxBlue

    Total Lunar Eclipse of 2019

    Hey y'all. Seeing that we're in storm mode right now, not sure if I can post about the upcoming lunar eclipse tomorrow night. But I figured it's worth creating a post about it seeing that mesoscale models are showing the sky mostly free of clouds for some of us. Folks in Connecticut, Inland Massachusetts, and southern New Hampshire have the best shot at enjoying the eclipse. Next total lunar eclipse will not occur anywhere in United States until May 26, 2021. Beginning of penumbral phase: 9:37 pm EST Beginning of partial phase: 10:34 pm EST Beginning of total phase: 11:41 pm EST Mid-eclipse: 12:12 am EST End of total phase: 12:43 am EST End of partial phase: 1:43 am EST End of penumbral phase: 2:48 am EST
  14. ravensrule

    January Banter 2019

    I miss Mitch. He was a great poster. It’s a shame many on this board had to drive him away. Funny how the post quality has dropped precipitously since he left.
  15. Ripping snow here
  16. HVSnowLover

    January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat

    Precip type not so much the issue for some, warm surface temps are. It's sticking a bit now on grass and car tops but mostly it looks like rain.
  17. norcarolinian

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    No matter what. I have 50 degrees with windy rain at the moment. In 24 hours the forecast is 14 degrees with a wind chill of (0) zero. to me that is a good NC winter.. carry on
  18. mattny88

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Wow you really thonk baseline 2ft w upwards of 3 ft a very distinct possobi ility for oswego tim? That wpuld be fantastic
  19. Holston_River_Rambler

    January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion

    If Stovepipe's parents still live in Paris, looks like they are doing pretty well! Looks like @The unknown might be going to get an inch or so too! I'm pulling for all. Must be a pretty strong frontal passage when that last line comes through.
  20. CatoctinRN

    MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons

    It's pretty much all sleet/fr rain now. Measured 2.4 in in Emmitsburg..I'm literally on the farthest point here PA line is walkable.
  21. Hoth

    Super, Duper SWFE

    Light snow. Decent sized flakes.
  22. walthsnow

    Super, Duper SWFE

    Moderate snow. Framingham. Flake size better than ocean effect stuff from earlier.
  23. CNY_WX

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Here are the last 12 hours of metars from CYHM. I don’t see anything to indicate snowfall rates to support 21 inches. CYHM 200100Z 03021G27KT 3/4SM R12/2800V4500FT/N -SN BLSN VV009 M14/M16 A2992 RMK SN8 SLP153 CYHM 200035Z 03018G25KT 3/4SM R12/3500FT/N -SN BLSN VV008 M14/M15 A2992 RMK SN8 SLP152 CYHM 200000Z 04021G26KT 5/8SM R12/5500FT/U -SN BLSN VV006 M13/M14 A2993 RMK SN8 SLP155 CYHM 192300Z 03018G24KT 5/8SM R12/5500FT/N -SN BLSN VV005 M13/M14 A2997 RMK SN8 /S04/ SLP168 CYHM 192250Z 04018KT 5/8SM R12/5000VP6000FT/U -SN BLSN VV006 M13/M14 A2997 RMK SN8 SLP169 CYHM 192200Z 03020KT 1/4SM R12/4500FT/N -SN BLSN VV006 M13/M14 A2999 RMK SN8 SLP174 CYHM 192100Z 03020KT 1/4SM R12/3500FT/N -SN BLSN VV006 M12/M14 A3002 RMK SN8 /S03/ SLP183 CYHM 192046Z 04020G25KT 1/4SM R12/2800FT/N -SN BLSN VV005 M12/M14 A3002 RMK SN8 SLP184 CYHM 192036Z 03021KT 1/8SM R12/3000FT/N SN BLSN VV005 M12/M14 A3003 RMK SN8 SLP187 CYHM 192014Z 03020KT 3/8SM R12/2800FT/N -SN BLSN VV005 M12/M14 A3003 RMK SN8 SLP189 CYHM 192000Z 03019G24KT 3/8SM R12/3500FT/N -SN BLSN VV008 M12/M13 A3004 RMK SN8 /S02/ SLP192 CYHM 191945Z 03019KT 3/8SM R12/3000FT/N -SN BLSN VV007 M12/M13 A3005 RMK SN8 SLP193 CYHM 191900Z 03015KT 3/8SM R12/2800FT/N -SN BLSN OVC005 M11/M12 A3008 RMK SN6SF2 SLP202 CYHM 191853Z 03014G20KT 3/8SM R12/3000FT/N -SN BLSN OVC006 M11/M12 A3009 RMK SN6SF2 SLP205 CYHM 191800Z 06019G25KT 3/4SM R12/4000FT/D -SN BLSN OVC010 M09/M11 A3010 RMK SN6SF2 /S05/ SLP209 CYHM 191732Z 07019G27KT 5/8SM R12/3000V4500FT/U -SN BLSN VV014 M09/M11 A3012 RMK SN8 SLP216 CYHM 191700Z CCA 07015G22KT 1/4SM R12/2400FT/N -SN BLSN VV005 M09/M10 A3014 RMK SN8 /S03/ SLP224 CYHM 191600Z CCA 05021G27KT 5/8SM R12/2600FT/N -SN DRSN VV006 M09/M10 A3017 RMK SN8 /S02/ PRESFR SLP233 CYHM 191548Z 05016G24KT 1/4SM R12/2800FT/N SN VV007 M09/M10 A3018 RMK SN8 SLP236 CYHM 191500Z 04013KT 1/2SM R12/3500FT/N SN VV006 M11/M13 A3020 RMK SN8 SLP243 CYHM 191434Z 04015KT 5/8SM R12/5000FT/U -SN OVC008 M12/M14 A3020 RMK SN6SC2 SLP245 CYHM 191400Z 03016KT 3/4SM R12/P6000FT/D -SN OVC018 M12/M14 A3020 RMK SN6SC2 SLP245
  24. Take a quick drive up 22. It’s sticking to streets here
  25. Rain. Temp keeps creeping down..... 10th of a degree every 30 min or so. 32.9 now. I am sure it will start climbing here soon but would think there is a pretty good ice storm going on in the valleys of the hills to my NW.
  26. ayuud11

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    High snowfall ratios my friend, it barely felt like snowing out there today and we already got 5-6” here in the city so those amounts might be possible if they had that band over them all day.
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