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Started snowing again around noon and we've picked up 1.0" of new accumulation. This brings the event total to 17.3" which now surpasses January 6-7, 2024 (16.9") as my biggest event since moving to this location in 2022. Keep it coming!

Imagine it a week from now.

Yeah when the Ukie & Ai came out I had a feeling this would happen. Not throwing in the towel yet, if that bowling ball is farther N in latitude it still would work. The “what could have beens” are the hardest part of this hobby lol. Just a small change turned the euro from the Blizzard of 26 to OTS .

HRRR looks like a little energy dials up and gives us a bit more.

I'm at 22.5 with a brisk NE wind It's rough out. I went for a walk and when i got back to the house i was snow blind...brutal

Just checked the euro AI models, they've been windshield wipering the past 3-4 runs. I think the models will need at least a couple of days to get a better handle on this. It may not happen in the next run.

To be fair, i'd rather this one start cutting west a little bit

Just a thought, and although I’m not superstitious, but jokes about Uccellini may bring bad karma. I mean, why risk it?

Here's AIFS verbatim. Probably add 50% to the totals to account for extremely good ratios.

Man you walk slow

The storm almost becomes warm core secluded with intense CAA/N winds on the western side of the system. Plus when it becomes vertically stacked, it occludes and you lose that mid-level WAA. Such an intense system would have an intense thermal contrast and there'd be a CCB/fronto band on the western side that helps to cool the column as well.

Gonna do a temp breakdown along with confirmation for my HMP Weather Central location 5pm-25 7pm-20 9pm-17 11pn-14 1am 11 Overnight low-6

I'm expecting the fam up north to get another dumping while we get nothing so I'll be pleasantly surprised if anything happens.

WB 12Z EPS compared to 0Z; east shift but we have time to reek back in.

This presentation tells the story a little better than that other one they had

It’s so lol

Its a miss to the east.

Any AI models posted? For 12z -maybe I missed it but I'm reading through and I don't see anything about AI models

24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members

He’s probably right, but also is a weenie. His post for the last storm were unbearable.

Model waffles will continue for the next couple of days before honing in on a scenario.

I wonder why the outerbanks got so little? Warm air or dry slot? I thought the 80 storm was SUPER cold?? I was only 4 and lived in Wilson...I slightly remember it.

Went out and there are tree limbs down all over. You can walk on the top of the snow without going through. Governor of Maryland put out for people to stay off the roads.

Csnavywx, Is this a Triple Phaser? To my untrained eyes it sure looks like one. If it walks like a duck, talks like a duck...

The 12z GEPS is further back w/ the surface high pressure over TX than it was at 12z. The 12z Euro is further east w/ the surface high pressure over TX than it was at 6z. That seems to be a pretty significant difference. The amount of hp over the top in New England is also important. The 12z Euro had more there than compared to 6z...and that may well have shunted the moisture to the coast.