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KFIT's tD is 26F... that will help

All time worst bust for the Mid-Atlantic, imagine expecting 2-3 feet of snow from an all timer blizzard and instead getting at most a couple inches of slop. I was too young to remember this but I believe it was a case of a delayed transfer which shifted the heaviest snows way north into New England. I believe that trend was choreographed on some of the models, which makes me think that something of that magnitude *probably* won't happen again.

Yup. Expecting just cold and wet…33 rain.

This what I noticed Monday night into Tuesday...DPs were low, so I was like "uh-oh",,even though I didn't write on it.

How is it possible for there to be a -PNA with that much of a western ridge? What exactly is the definition of the PNA index?

Meh on this thing

Still no Warning issued from BOX. They are not impressed

What is the hypothesized physical mechanism of causation between sunspots (or solar cycle in general) and high latitude blocking?

It’s so tiresome when it gets cold in late March. Literally accomplishes nothing. .

I look forward to clearing snow tomorrow morning with my head on a swivel as pine branches snap all around me.

Monday and Tuesday super warm.. back door showing up on some guidance Wednesday

Yeah, 37° and overcast in Greenfield.

Hmmm... sneaky severe this evening?

If we waste the first four hours of precip cooling from 38 down to 31.. then it’s a bust for a lot of zr.. same deal for those farther northeast in snow zone . It kind of has a bust feeling early on, but who really knows ?

I’m just expecting rain here…think we just won’t cool enough. But who knows?

Wonder if the same setup today would yield better forecasts for areas further south that literally saw almost nothing.

Temp approached 42 here but is back down to 39.8

Wasn't this event supposed to be in the 45-55 degree range earlier in the week? If so its cooled off considerably, probably not enough but still showing a sign of life to this winter.

GFS gives us transient cold for a couple of days, no frozen precipitation threats, and looks to pop a ridge around 3/20. [emoji120] [emoji120] [emoji120]

39.3

I'll be using that and the HRRR/NAM soundings to try and figure that out. This morning in Ablemarle the saturated layer looked to end around 950mb so I would think 2000ft is enough.

It’s warm everywhere now It’s not really about that. It’s the dews. Worrying if we advect Enough for cooling

What’s your temp now? Was just out at lunch..and truck was reading 36-37 here.

We have a pellet stove. The first two Winters we tried to use it season long to supplement the gas heat. We found it saves absolutely no money, and actually cost more. What it is good for is marginal days when we can shut off the gas and just keep the first floor living room area warm. It saves a lot in the in between seasons. I just picked up another half ton a couple days ago

Tech gave us advanced drones. Drone defense systems are way behind.