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  1. Past hour
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    Closing in on +4c in Nino 1+2
  3. kdxken
  4. cmillzz
    The negative height anomalies near the Gulf of Alaska, together with the core of the strongest negative height anomalies over northeastern Canada, look reasonably Nino-like to me. Summer ENSO teleconnections are much weaker and noisier than in winter, so I wouldn't expect a textbook composite. Given that, the broad pattern still seems fairly consistent with a mature El Nino.
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    August DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.0 1.4 1.8 1.0
  6. canderson
    Got to 92 at home. A hot day. Car read 93 in Lemoyne.
  7. wxallannj
    August DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.8 2.2 2.3 1.5 2.0 1.5
  8. EasternLI
    I would also like to see a recurving typhoon or two as @so_whats_happening very astutely brought up. That's another thing I'm keeping my eye's on. I feel like we will, sooner or later. Unfortunately nothing much on the radar for that currently. There's only this dubious TC that forms on the heels of typhoon Dolphin. All models show this system too, this is the euro below. Some want to recurve it, some don't. If it did, I might think of it as a baby step. I'm thinking the autumn could bring better chances though.
  9. JACKASS
    You just posted a blue image. SMGDH
  10. dailylurker
    I'm going to be washing a house on Sunday at 11 right near your town. I'd love to come by and take a look. I've been restoring deck since 1997. I definitely have a few options. Send me a DM. It was super nice out today. It was a lovely day to be outside.
  11. Damage In Tolland
    Folks should listen instead of posting silly blue maps and charts . Fire up your Muggy meters and enjoy !!
  12. Maggie Valley Steve
    The WPC has introduced a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall for tomorrow and tomorrow night.
  13. Today
  14. snowman19
    The CANSIPS is playing catch up to the CFS and the EURO. It’s very likely not done strengthening this event even further, it was way too weak to start out with and very good call with its “Modoki bias”. I agree that it’s not done adjusting this to an east-based event either. The CFS just got even stronger with the traditional ONI and RONI. The EURO is guaranteed to get stronger as well, with its new update on 8/5 @LakePaste25
  15. donsutherland1
    July 2026 finished with a monthly mean temperature of 76.4°, which was 1.1° below normal (0.1° below the 1981-2010 baseline).
  16. donsutherland1
    New York City (Central Park) is finishing July with a monthly mean temperature of 76.4°. Despite the hot start to the month, that is 1.1° below normal (0.1° below the older 1981-2010 baseline). Temperatures could return to near seasonable levels for a time this weekend. Sunday could be a bit cooler than normal. Another moderate to potentially significant rainfall is likely Monday into Tuesday. No exceptional heat is likely through the first week of August. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -26.84 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.295 today.
  17. GaWx
    1. Why are you using 1991-2020 for climo for a 1987 summer? That diminishes the above normal H5 in the E US on your 1st map. 2. The highest height anomalies/warmest temp annomalies are in the E US, regardless. How is that El Ninoish?
  18. bluewave
    Deflect from what? 1987 had a summer pattern that was a reasonable match for El Nino expectations.This summer is completely different.
  19. Damage In Tolland
    At least the first 2 weeks look AN and humid. WAR
  20. mitchnick
    I thought the discussion was regarding El Niño summers. What relevance does throwing La Nada or Niñas into the mix have? Subtle deflect however.
  21. Frankpc
    End of month update: Another 1.8 " (mostly in buckets Tuesday evening) to close the month at an even 15" for July. June/July total at 19.6". Talk about inflection points. Also, the trend held, drought dropping us to D1 this week. Since Tuesday's rain not counted in that assessment, and Sunday/Monday looking wet, will we manage D4, D3, D2, D1, D0 on successive weeks?
  22. sbnwx85
    I’m going to cosplay this cut off low as a weak tropical storm.
  23. IWXwx
    Cue Spartman's weekend washout post
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    +9c has popped in the subsurface on TAO/Triton for the first time of this event! It's warming pretty rapidly too, we may see a +10c in a couple of days. That's +18F, so if the water is usually 62F, it's now 80F.
  25. bristolri_wx
    I don't think this winter will be nearly as bad as people are expecting. December and January are likely to be warm and wet. How much of that ends up as snow will just be some luck on low pressure tracks/placements. I wouldn't put a lot of hope into a White Christmas for Southern New England. However, February and March are looking cooler on the long range forecasts, while still showing above normal precipitation. Could be a back-loaded winter. Locking in a below normal snowfall winter would be quite pre-mature at this point while the El Nino is still developing, and other factors may come into play.
  26. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  27. bluewave
    It wasn’t even a hot summer for the cooler 1980s era. The warmest 1980s summer was 1988 and the 2nd warmest 1980. This current July is close to the warmest July on record. So there really isn’t a comparison to the summer of 1987.
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