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A very disappointing 0.04" after 0.15" overnight. Two day total of 0.42". Not horrible but frustrating when downtown had had 2+.

At a minimum this upcoming storm was always going to be about a coastal flood threat and strong onshore flow with possible gales. Trends continue to support this. Coastal warnings and advisories are already posted and will likely be extended past the current expiration times. Strong onshore flow for several days / numerous high tide cycles along with a full moon. Still looks to me like the Jersey shore and L.I. Sound get the worst of the coastal flooding / erosion as far as this sub forum are concerned. Eventual surface evolution will determine if this goes past minor / to moderate coastal flooding. Surface evolution will also determine how far inland rain and gusty winds get if they make it inland at all. Complex evolution yet to be determined. If EURO persists with 00Z cycle tonight and is doing something similar at 12Z tomorrow then threat for more effects further inland would increase. Too soon to tell. Something interesting to watch this over the next few days.

Um... It's the NAM with 3-4 days to go. Are you seriously putting stock in this run (whether it's good or bad).

Someone want to start a storm thread?

hopefully it occludes way south, then is safely kicked out!

@nw baltimore wx Hi, it's fixed. It was a SSL/Certificate issue that affected some users. This light rain is great drought buster. It's soaking into the soils very gently.

Joe Bastardi makes a good point about this likely being warm core at least in the early stages since it would be forming over 82-83F water. He said it weakens as it moves toward the coast because that’s what a warm core storm would do as it gets into cooler SSTs.

I’d take that

NAM with a dud to kick off 00z. Anyone who thinks this thing is a slam dunk to hit us directly may be in for a letdown.

Crawling

all it takes is one well timed cold air mass. I would never throw in the towel if we have the precip side of the equation in play.

nah, i’m stalking out winter for 24 hours of snow.

Wide right

We crushed you here: 0.11” It did bring the MTD total over two inches, 2.01”

Windows open with soft rain and the gentle chirp of crickets and bellow of toads. M1.12" since midnight. Temp 56°.

Weenies never say die. Sold my house in the flood zone. Looking forward to enjoying this one from drier ground. LOL

Yes, but much needed rain.

0.98 for today and still raining at 2200 obs

My weather station shows with today's rain, September has exceeded August's rainfall totals, surprising to say the least.

This should be "Fun" for Staten Island.

1.30 total, nice !