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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://nypost.com/2026/07/17/science/could-el-nino-and-atlantic-nina-join-forces-to-stop-hurricanes/?utm_campaign=nypost&sr_share=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwdGRjcATIledjbGNrBMiV4GV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDDM1MDY4NTUzMTcyOAABHrZJplYxVhr-qY48UT6kFhSme1bPRK1zvCIdz63839hZK2q13u4fIvlfVA-5_aem_TWYFCDQhIkpDDrf6FtadpA -
incoming storms here near brier creek. Some rumbling now
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Just appeared to in like last 5 minutes if you put radar in motion
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Round two is incoming for the south shore. Constant thunder at jones beach currently .
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Hoping for afternoon batch to go south
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’m liking Harrisburg to Lancaster to Philly for the best tornado potential today just based on where the warm front appears to be setting up. -
Tornado warning now in Western NY. Ontario County.
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DPs are in the 75-80 range across the region as temperatures rise into the low 90s
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
WinterWolf replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Never understood how that means one is caught in the middle and gets nothing…? If that’s even what that means? -
Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
CT Valley Snowman replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Not a big recovery window and pretty late iin the day to recover. Rains still out to almost BGM. -
Getting constant thunder here almost non stop
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South Jersey Alley.
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That’s always been the bullseye for this event and historically. .
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I don’t remember the year, but recall the event you’re referring to. Despite being socked in much of that day, it really didn’t matter. Just passed 0.50” in the bucket for the day. -
Now the worst of this next round missing me slightly to the south. Central Middlesex County will get a lot of rain. Would've been a pretty good flooding threat here if this next batch was slightly more to the north.
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Absolute deluge
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Thunder showers here-nothing crazy but nice drink for the lawn
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Have a feeling the Philly area and points east and south which received practically nothing from the first round will get the most out of the second round later - opinions ?
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Thunder again
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hang in there. For many cycles now the HRRR has been advertising a very quick pullout of the smoke this afternoon. Already getting much better down this way. -
Yes, agree. The watch that just came out from them goes into E PA which was a bit surprising to me considering the new watch box for our area would seem to go overtop that... I guess your idea would work. The watch to our north in PA covers like half our MCD lol
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yes, that was also a very messy convective day in the morning but it didn’t matter because the deep layer shear was in place. Very similar set up. -
Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
Hoth replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Fine by me. Took a week to finish cutting up the trees that fell during the 7/4 storm.
