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Right on cue the models are slowing the frontal passage for Friday into Saturday. This has been the theme all year from weekend winter snowstorms to thunderstorms and nor’easters into the fall. So it looks like we’ll have more measurable rain here early Saturday. Luckily not the all day washout that we just had this past Sunday. But just enough to keep the measurable weekend precipitation streak going before we clear out during the day Saturday. New run Old run

d10…what could go wrong?

Look - I am *not* attempting to assert that CO2, vis a vis fossil fuel burning, is not a long term problem. It is. My assertions are the following: That it is not an existential crisis, or anything close to it That our policy efforts to solve the problem have been and continue to be misguided; specifically in that they a) have less positive impact in fixing the problem than most people think, and b) have more negative impact than most people think - both economically and environmentally

That’s a full fledged cane. Certainly possible

50 degrees this morning. the last day before the fronts move in.

Wow.... just.... wow. Listen to your yourself. I'll just put this here, and let you struggle with your existential crisis. Let me know when that trend starts upward due to our fossil fuel burning, so I can... run somewhere or something.

Lets go !

Still 71 at Dulles. Where's the front??

So your rebuttal is to latch onto one tiny bit in what I say, and misrepresent it? I did not say a windmill can kill a whale. That's the kind of mis-reading that causes people to misunderstand things, like the actual effects of climate change.

Lock it in.

High of 82 yesterday. 71 at midnight, 59 currently

The new EURO run is off the charts. All time record-breaking in regions 1+2, 3 and 3.4 and by a lot. This is the projected traditional ONI for each region next month, keep in mind that the El Niño will still be strengthening at this point. It has the final peak happening in December My guess is that the ONI/RONI peaks in December. Guess for peaks: ONI: +4.1C - +4.2C RONI: +3.5C - +3.6C

Hit with the double whammy this past week cold/flu now a stomach bug of some sort. Yesterday was beautiful sat outside for a bit.

Definitely will see tons of volatility but that doesn't mean snow either. We could have powerful, wet systems though if any arctic air gets involved then maybe.

Today maybe the first midnight high of the season?

US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·o͏t͏o͏n͏e͏p͏S͏r͏s͏d͏u͏4͏g͏4͏g͏1͏i͏6͏5͏2͏m͏5͏0͏3͏1͏1͏f͏5͏c͏a͏i͏m͏m͏7͏2͏g͏2͏2͏1͏l͏l͏4͏4͏2͏5͏4͏g͏l͏a͏5͏l͏7͏l͏0͏1͏l͏c͏a͏m͏t͏ · 10/15/2026 5 AM: A cold front will drop across PA on Friday (Oct 16th), making thunderstorms as it does so. Some may make damaging winds. A tornado is not out of the question. The strongest storms will likely be right along the front as it passes

Toss

Time to watch for a tropical disturbance next week ?

DT and JB are honking

And we can add the 0Z Euro, too, with a full-blown very intense storm (12Z Euro also had it)!