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  2. 0z EPS is a great improvement.. awaiting snow means but def a fair more solutions like the Euro.
  3. We had a bit of disagreement with our bank and rates had dropped about a point since our original mortgage agreement, so we refinanced with another bank (later to be bought by the original bank ) and converted to a 20 year. The house appraised for 25k more in a year.
  4. The first apartment I looked at when I moved here had a view of the Whites from the living room. I opted for a view of the wharves on Commercial (the apartment was bigger). We got to take our wedding pictures on the roof of the Eastland (now Westin) and let me tell you. THAT'S a view of the Whites.
  5. I’m putting a lot of effort into #flurrywatch but the radar is busier than any of the mesos predicted. No clue if it’s virga or not but it’s enough to entertain me.
  6. Seems like we have a good starting time too. Won’t have to worry about that sun angle for a few hours.
  7. Lee Goldberg had a prediction of 0.6" for NYC and Long Island (based on the HRRR I think?) said snow squalls are possible between 7 AM and 11 AM.
  8. Crazy uncle Ukie out of range but looks warmer and going north of the ECM
  9. Hopefully we get to call it baby snowmageddon or junior? I’m in Philly but I’d def chase to W VA if euro is right. This H5 of feb 3 2010 but you can see the storm forming in southwest just like this one. Good point on the nino stj. Night. Hopefully another good day tomorrow.
  10. it's actually good to see some cutter scenarios in the modeling, it decreases the chances that this storm will miss us. Just take the average
  11. that was a memorable week that came after a big thaw! and yesterday was the anniversary of the -2 recorded in NYC in Jan 1994!
  12. The setup has some similarities. That was a nino so a healthier STJ. This will hit a brick wall similar to how that one did. Similar blocking.
  13. Hmmm...not comparing the amounts just the placement and gradient. That one came out of the southwest too. It was just more organized.
  14. 12z was better in N MD. 00z was better in DC and VA.
  15. JI will hate it. It’s pink. Not blue.
  16. But is snowed a couple hours longer.
  17. temps are good the whole time. surface starts somewhat marginal but 850s never in doubt. high ratios literally never pan out but... doesn't look like garbage.
  18. That block is legit. If the NS doesn’t phase with the TPV like the gfs...this won’t gain much latitude imo. But there is always room for a 30 mile tweak that gets the death band to Carroll county lol.
  19. 0z summary GFS lost in space with a low in the lakes ECM even more squashed nary a flake in Qtown ICON decent track but rain for all Para GFS like the ICON but southern slider rainstorm CMC euro clone UKMET like the ICON This hobby is ridiculous
  20. it's late night, there are only 19 of us on here, we can pass around the good stuff.
  21. One thing I remember about GHD2 is that we were sort of caught in a thermal ridge much of that first evening. Had rain mixing in with the snow deep into the evening which kept much from accumulating. Models were consistent with a lot of snow to come after the full changeover but it was a bit frustrating hanging onto the mix so long. It ended up working out for the best though as the extremely wet snow and rain mix was slowly caking trees, and once it fully transitioned to all snow the trees REALLY got caked. Woke up the following morning to significant tree damage to one of the trees in the backyard as very heavy snow continued to fall. Ended up with around 15".
  22. I like that the low centers are both progged to pass about 100 miles south of us, thats a good snow track
  23. Well shit, I was just looking at the normal snowfall map
  24. subtract .1" from the snow the EURO gives us overnight.
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