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Im in trouble at Point Pleasant. Sitting at a balmy 47F.

Light steady snow had begun. Pretty efficient though in sticking to everything.

I would say cut those 10%maps totals in half, and there's a far greater chance of seeing those #s

I think CTP & local news in the LSV need to update their forecasts based on short term modeling last night & today. I’m seeing a lot of “coating to an inch or two” forecasts. Most model have a good chunk of the LSV in the 2 to 4 inch range. This of course is busy time of year with people out shopping & holiday parties, etc. The media & CTP need to put better messaging out today in my opinion which could help keep some people safe.

Moderate to heavy snow here. Nice heavy band from South Fayette to South Park

Other than up near BDL with the dry air valley drain .. it’s 2-4” which is advisory level . If they don’t do it this evening you’ll wake up under one tomorrow after the fact

Now I'm being fringed to the north lol, but it still looks like I could luck into a inch or two. With the crashing temps and wind, it's definitely gonna feel like Christmas. Looking forward to hopefully getting some pics of decorations in the snow. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

12 days into the month (today's stats are yet to be added), DCA has seen 9 days feature subfreezing temperatures. That beats the entirety of Decembers 2023, 2021, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2012, and 2011. By the start of the mid-month warmup DCA will be tied with last year at 13. Still a decent chance that the airport tops 2022 for most December subfreezing lows since 2010 (Towering above most years at 27 days)

Here ya go Randy just for you @stormtracker

39 here...I mean that's not that far to go to get to freezing if it doesn't go any higher. A couple models have cut back slightly due to mixing but if that above freezing layer is shallow like @WxUSAF pointed out...you'd think that wouldn't be much of an issue where I am.

Misleading. 10% probability maps less than 12 hours before an event begins rarely ever workout. I would love to be wrong though.

Surprised nobody has posted a map yet. Oops, guess I didn't look far enough back.

How about this map

26/25, its been flurries / SN- all day. Looks like the main show should be starting in a few hours.

Yeah, HRRR gone wild. And still going lol.

We might lose a small amount at the very beginning especially on the barrier islands, but the northerly winds are bringing in fresh cold air this time and it should be very brief that it’s not accumulating or a mix. Goes to show though what still happens here when winds are onshore in December.

I really hate having to dig through MJO data - yuck. Anyway, I read the MJO report from the 8th by CPC. So, I think I know how to read the following map. The orange is suppressed convection. Now, it is important to remember there is almost always convection at this time of year over the MC, and I think that is a mistake some(not in this forum!) are making. You can have convection, but it be suppressed IMHO. That simply means less than the norm. I don't "think" phase 8 and phase 5 have a one-size-fits all scale for convection. I would guess the MC has more convection, ie it could still have convection but less than the norm. The enhanced(more than normal) convection is blue...and that is phase 8. It isn't moving. In fact, you can see some convection firing in east Africa which is 1-2. What I want to know on the CHI plot is which color is enhanced and which is suppressed. I need to get that straightened out so that I can compare the two. @jaxjagman

Up to 41 here. Probably start as a brief mix

It should just be a matter of time until CTP expands the Advisory At least into Dauphin, Lebanon & Skook.

Upgraded to WSW here

Thanks. Decided to come back after staying away several years due to a couple posters... Looks like heavy band heading to Mt Lebo.

It has begun.

After a low of 14.5 last night. Temps have been steadily rising from before sunrise. I was starting to worry, not so much for here, but for city folk and coasties. Made it up to 31.6 about an hour ago, but now it is slowly dropping. Hopefully these falling temps make it down to the coastal plain. A couple of hours of mixed precip or rain would cut down on totals.