All Activity

It's pretty cool that they track cherry blossoms back 1000 years to year 1000, and it was actually getting later and later on average for 900 years (3 degree angle) until about 150 years ago.

Oh...wait until Bluewave sees this post implying hope for the future He's going to come in with some tweet from a Japanesse nanna in the hills of nothern Japan bitching about how poor her onion crop is, and tie it to death to NE US winters for all of eternity.

I can't wait until this phase changes.. there is so much record H5 occurring in the mid-latitudes.. rarely over the NAO or EPO or WPO...

Yea, no great anticipation with that this season...I know where its headed based on solar. But I think we could steal a round or two of decent blocking early and late season based on QBO data.

So repeat it seemx Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

On June 28th, my N. Atlantic SST Winter NAO predictor index is running ~+0.85 for that day Up box cold is +NAO, warm is -NAO. Down box cold is -NAO, warm is +NAO. ^Actually down is x1.00 and up is x0.65.

I certainly do not argue with the idea of a +NAO/-EPO this season.....just get some semblance of variability with resepct to the PNA and I will roll with that, though folks in Virginia may feel differently.

Well, even those 4 seasons 2021-2022 through last season....the only one that didn't have a fighting chance in the northeast was the 2023-2024 El Nino, which isn't a relevent analog this season. I would take 2021-2022, 2022-2023 with a slightly less extreme RNA, or last season with a bit more precip. Its not the death-knell some are making it out to be, though it certainly slams the breaks on the notion of any imminent, major regime change. That doesn't really tell me anything that I didn't already know because I have already conceeded another solid -PDO winter looking at how low it is right now...a cursory glace back throughout history seals that. Raindance was pimping 2022-2023 as an early analog...which I would be fine with. I'll take my chances on not having the west coast trough extend to the Baja again...December and March would have been great.

Yeah, and it cuts off half of the years. They could make it more understandable, I guess just be aware of a single dash before a list of years

Oh, man...that is confusuing. Wayyyy too many dashes.

Whatweather.today - accurate weather forecast

Looks like you hit a jackpot of cedar for those planter beds; (assuming you harvested/milled it yourself). The aroma must be great. (Or maybe my eyes deceive me) Nothing like working outdoors on a winter day with mans-best-friend helping.

It's minus the 1980s analogs. West coast was cold 10 years before the 91-20 average. Then it was drastically warm in the 5 year since then. That's the point.. the progression around the 91-20 base period in July.

missed most of the overnight action here, .06

Some of these seasons aren't that warm.....its heavily biased by years like 1982-1983, which really isn't relevent this season. It certainly gives pause for expecting a repeat of last season, but I would hang myself over it.

Yesterday was the 9th consecutive day the temperature at PIT didn’t drop below 69. That’s the longest streak on record at the airport. Could add another day to that today, depending on what the temp is at 1am.

I would imagine PHX was influenced by increased Dew point temps and overnight lows as the city was developed, similar to Palm Springs - i know it seems much more humid (by local standards) going there since the late 60s. On our side a steamy hazy 75 / 74 here.

June total 5.31" Highest temp 95, lowest 46 Seems so hot now, but the month started quite chilly.

Both Japan, and the Mediterranean (Sea, not sure on air but France and eastern Iberian Penn were just roasted in in 42C) observed their hottest Junes on record.

Happy July! The days are getting shorter

got about .65 from yesterday and last night

NAM insists on a pretty significant temperature burst in 2-3 hrs. WPC analyzing the warm boundary W-E thru central NE; the region's primed for a temp rise. High res vis imagery suggests the mid level gunk is smearing away and immediately there's skylights opening up over NE PA/E-SE NY. It's early ... As that tendency arrives, we'll likely see better heating.

Just missed those much needed downpours by a few miles...steiiiiined.

Steam bath outside, DP at 76 yuck.

I doubt another dry winter.