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This map looks familiar from about a month ago. The severe threat was to the river too. But than they expanded it it past the river. They issued severe thunderstorm warnings for me when the thunderstorm was on top of me. So I wonder if the same scenario will occur today, tonight also.

62 / 59 cloudy onshore E/ENE flow. Other than drizzle and spotty showers cloudy cool - highs near or below 70 for most. Front comes back north tomorrow with next round of showers/rain 0.25 - 0.50 in the heaviest spots. Clearing later Tue gets it back to normal - near 80. Wed - Fri much warmer with a chance for the next / first 90 in the hotter spots on Thursday (6/12)elsewhere mid - upper 80s. Next front/boundary comes this weekend 6/14-15 with clouds and rain with a similar looking into next week. Overall warmer and wetter than normal beyond with heat from the west building east and north with heat possible by the 20th with a warmer close to the month.

Eww nasty

How many beach weekends? Zero We only have 15 between Memorial and Labor Days and 3 already gone with the 4th looking the worst yet. How many true beach days at all? Last week a couple but it was actually significantly cooler there than inland We get 3 this week Wednesday through Friday but might be another week before the next one Before you blink its over...in 2 weeks we will have posts about days getting shorter

They are more brown than the blacklegged tick and were originally discovered in the US in NJ. See https://www.aphis.usda.gov/livestock-poultry-disease/cattle/ticks/asian-longhorned. The scary thing about them is their population has exploded because they can reproduce via parthenogenesis which is wild for a tick.

1.08 rain since Friday. And presumably more later today/tonight. I hope it misses me.

that figures. Heading to see @Itstrainingtimebeloved O's saturday of fathers day weekend. Everytime we go there it rains or is 1000 degrees

It absolutely was. I did a bunch of power washing in the morning and then just sat on our front porch and listened to the rain. It was so relaxing and the perfect intensity for the ground to soak it up. Great way to end the weekend.

What does that look like

We are paying for the warmth we had last October/November. Maybe the seasons are just shifting and Septembers will be warmer than Junes

Well now you have to go knock on wood. NJ is interesting though as the Asian longhorned tick is really taking over.

This is certainly the case for many, but definitely not for me. I'm in the very northern part of the NYC Metro. What is doing it I think is the lack of sunshine for long stretches at a time. That is NOT normal for June across any part of our subforum. Also, seeing many days in the future like today which will be a -11 for my area. In today's climate and at this time of the year, that is pretty big to be doing routinely. There are 3 days on models that are at or above normal for my area over the next 14 days. That is a far cry from what many were forecasting this year.

Interesting I work outdoors a d near wooded areas but not one tick on me yet this year...that is know about

Oh sure 70 and clouds every weekend and 62 with light rain this Monday morning screams summertime

Not saying it is jacket weather. Nor am I saying it isn't summer. But the big forecasts for summer were for +2 to +3 for many of the major outlets for our area. I'm not seeing that is all I am saying. It is looking like "normal". There are plenty on these boards that were saying HHH for days and days and that just isn't in the mix right now. But we do need to try and dry out some for the weekends for seasonal work. That said abundant moisture will keep our lab busy with above average ticks and mosquitoes. That is why I follow this stuff to forecast out what the season will look like. Right now it is well above average for ticks, but tick bites are below average. Likely having to do with weekend washouts keeping people away from hikes and what not.

Channeling my inner @Mount Joy Snowman and providing some weather statistics for this Monday, there are still 3 open ski resorts in the lower 48. 2 of the 3 (Arapahoe Basin in Colorado, Mammoth Mountain in California) will close this coming Sunday, June 15th. The sole remaining resort (Timberline in Oregon) is planning on skiing right into August. If you need a snow fix, head west. Some of the mountain areas still have some left.

Mostly miss on the hit and miss yesterday... couple tenths at most. Juicy out there.

.33" here. The rainfall rate yesterday was perfect for watering my flowers and veggies.

61 here and windy/overcast...feels like October! But the AC is off, so there's a win

Low of 63 with .3" of rain.

Worst gardening season in a long time. Depleted soils, not many bees and pollinators and not nearly enough sun leading to slow growth is pretty depressing. I had 2 good strawberries so far but the birds got them before I did

A peculiar aspect has been going on between the teleconnection prognostics ( from all sources), vs the operational counter parts of those sources. Those being ECMWF, GFS, CMC The telecons spread has been correlated to warmer than normal since early April The operational runs have been routinely/predominatingly low-balling, with modeled outlooks persistently materializing synoptics that look like at best like they are at the bottom margin of the correlation fields. They're doing it again now ... they are unrelenting keeping a N-stream anachronistic to the season, and this is suppressing real heat, as well as making flow unusually progressive along 40N across the continent ( not sure if this is a hemispheric plague but I suspect it's just N/A where this has been/is still the modeled case). And they have been winning.. We've had one or two hot days, everything else has been pedestrian. But here's the thing ... they kind of both have been winning and losing. Because temperatures have in fact verified above normal so far AMJ/3. But the devil's in relativity. The pattern relative temperatures have verified much warmer than the operational pattern. This may or may not be CC hiding in the works, but whatever the cause ...the we have been getting warm than the verified patterns suggests we should - all the while, the verifying pattern has not been very well correlated to the teleconnections. This doesn't bode well for the summer ... If it continues with this head game, those that want the true deep heat may have to deal with temperate summer.

Too much easterly flow .

Have yep. Even if it were partly sunny it’s definitely not a warm look.

Once again, western PA is favored. We in the east get the crap, but not the excitement.