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Like I said the other day…2012 isn’t happening. Even NNE was past mud season for that. That was a unicorn for mid March. It’s definitely going to get tainted at the surface at times even with the big anomalies aloft. I don’t think anyone expected 5+ days of 65-70+. I just think we’ll get a day or two in there where we can get more of a W component…especially SoP where the boundaries like to hang up in Wor county. Could be a dew day in there before the cold front comes through to end the warm stretch. That would eat some snow.

I know we've got 1 last fail in us. Let's go!

I learned to forecast the weather in the 1980s and 1990s when I went to college for meteorology. FOUS, MOS, gridded data, AVN and the ETA/NAM are some of the things I remember. Ensembles were just starting. How has forecasting changed since then? The AFDs are certainly different now with less analysis and more synoptic descriptions. I see the models now (HRRR, NBM, ensembles, AI) are significantly more accurate than the previous generations. If a forecaster has a different opinion than the model consensus, what tools do you use to formulate your opinion? Can a NWS meteorologist go against model guidance? Is there occasionally a need to go against model guidance? I get the feeling in the past there was more personality and subjectivity in operational forecasting than there is today. Is this true?

About to start as I head out. Should look pretty for an hour or two anyways.

Prob 1-2” per hour stuff right now but it’s gonna lighten up in a few min.

Yes so beautiful

If I didn't have radar I would be looking forward to a moderate snow storm. Lit up here

Seeing snow growth like this is always fun no matter how fleeting

Nice quick cover

Many here were saying it. Maps posted, met or two saying the pattern allowed for it , at least a day or two etc etc . It’s all there to read

Ah of course, the annual cold and damp April. Am I the only sick puppy that likes it?

Not our month for a lot of dry weather, according to BAM https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2027565955266572494

Pounding now in this band. Sticking to all surfaces including pavement. should ramp up a little more as the best echoes are still slightly west

Salesman ftl

Who is/was saying 70s for here? 60s are a legit possibility. Models doing what models do in transitional periods, Some read the tea leaves and some smoke them.

A winter of nickels and dimes with the end of January storm bringing it to the best snowfall wise since at least 2017-18. Blizzard was a nice exclamation point on the season. Met winter ends with 73" and about -2F.

Looks opposite from this time last year. I’m expecting AN March and April.

33 and light snow. Snowpack going to stick around until the end of the week. Would be nice to see some grass again, or be able to get into my shed.

Though Rt 2 north Tuesday aftn.

Next week could still spike but I’m always skeptical.

I guess one last winter day to enjoy tomorrow and then we’ll wait to reset hopefully for one last hurrah.

He’s a mess

No . This week is wet and cool to mild. Next week 70’s vanished. Not hard to follow

You just contradicted yourself when you supported Will. He’s also talking about a torch next week, not this week.

I’ll take 50s in early March. That’s a solid +10 margin for the area.