All Activity

I think that really is, only about, a one out of three summers phenomena, in SNE. Or maybe any season in SNE

Lightning bugs / fireflies are also out in force tonight !!

The bugs are out tonight Don =\ The rain and these warm minimums must have a lot to do with it. Are the temperatures going to stay above 80 most of the night? With a cold front coming through and rain falling you'd think they'd fall faster.

76/68. still pretty thick out there at midnight.

This ties 1972 for the largest gap in temperatures between JFK and NYC when JFK reaches 100 and NYC does not.

No worries here is the other site I used for the in comparison years. https://solen.info/solar/index.html Im sure I have more elsewhere in my bookmarks but there are a lot of saved bookmarks to go through lol

a beautiful park but not a proper location for official weather equipment (especially when all other official locations are airports).

that 99 really bugs me, then again we weren't even close to triple digits on Monday, we were so far off I didn't even record my high temperature that day-- GO BIG OR GO HOME!!

I think Gawx has done research correlating the Solar cycle with ENSO states. I think he found out that there might be a few year lag for highest correlation.. he posted it in ENSO threads in previous years (or maybe I am thinking of the NAO). Thanks for the solar data by the way, that is actually really hard to find!

I wonder though if we put this with data about hurricanes either globally or solely the Atlantic if we can see some interesting trends come about.

Maybe for the bolded but we also just saw an extended La Nina like pattern emerge at the start of this cycle. Numbers and intensity though are two different things. We had some rather intense flares occur over the last year but numbers overall seemed to be about on par with what is near the 'average' amount based on the number of cycles we have seen. Cycle 24 started off as an El Nino and in fact had a strong Nino at that followed by another significant one just after peak. Cycle 23 also started off in an El Nino quickly to La Nina and then a moderate Nino just after peak (2002-03) so im not sure there is too much correlation going on there. Cycle 23 was double that of 24. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression I mean if we extended this all the way to 1750 we would actually be seeing while this year was active the overall numbers are still in a decline mode over the 50+ years. Wonder if start to see it trend up in the upcoming cycles?

Mon, Tue, Wed record highs and Wed highs compared to old records for all 10 climo sites in BOX/OKX. I doubled checked everything this time so hopefully no errors

Will be an interesting roller coaster if this forecast comes true:

Couldn’t recall if that stat was just a single station or the whole state. I thought whole state, but the anomaly would be crazy high for such a large area. I’m assuming this is BTV or Morristown now that I’m thinking of it. Insane statistic regardless, and pretty surprising that snowfall numbers were still pretty good up high. Lots of elevation dependent events that year

94 today.

Anything is possible for forecasters with higher values than this heat wave produced, it's probably 50-50 whether a warmer spell comes along or not ... 1952 had similar heat and repeated it in mid-July. Some other years never got back to the June peaks they saw (1943 for one example, I think). The 1952 repeat was something like July 14-17.

Lots of thunder in my area but we completely missed out on the rain but the outflow cooled us down nicely to the low 80's from the upper 90's.

2003-2022 was definitely a low sunspot time, lowest 20-year period since before the 1900s I think. It may have something to do with the higher than average La Nina frequency during that time. This cycle was a big shift up. I'm actually surprised that the numbers aren't higher because of how many times the Aurora moved towards the tropics.. I don't think that has ever happened before.

Yea Im thinking we try 26-27 not sure on intensity but that can be determined. Here is how this cycle compares to the last few. We may be trying to go to a more active cycle in terms of sunspots since we hit our low in the prior.

-PDO is intensifying and could come in around -3 for July if there are no major changes. We average about 3 more named storms/yr in the Atlantic in -PDO vs +PDO. It also favors a pattern in the last Summer/Fall that supports more Gulf of Mexico landfalls.

Will be interesting to see if we see a change in the Pacific pattern over the next 1-2 years. Solar cycle +12 months Solar cycle +24 months I do think there is higher likelihood for El Nino in 26-27 and/or 27-28

99 my high today, still 84

Definitely was an impressive cycle looks like we are dropping off pretty decent over the last few months.

#itneverhits100 isn’t in a bad spot right now. Feel like DCA and IAD have room to grow this summer.

I’d take solid 80s over this 4 day stretch followed by meh. want sustained good weather