All Activity

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

This is what these trolls want. Some sick fucks. Good luck tracking the daylight loss on your calendar while your privates sweat off your body.

Holding onto losing daylight Because what’s more exciting in late June than the nostalgia of darkness at 4pm and breathlessly waiting for the Euro to show snowstorms in Pensacola and the GFS hammering us with perfect track rainers. The adrenaline rush of watching previously unmodeled scooter streaks blow apart a D5 blizzard. The overwhelming joy of watching lows deamplifying on guidance every 6 hours. Sorry, I forgot the daily 1.5” of upslope in Raccoon Rabies, Vermont. How wonderful.

I really don’t like even looking at winter at this point in time, that said, at this extremely early stage, I think we can assume a few things going into fall at least…. -PDO, -ENSO (either cold-neutral or weak La Niña; possibly a Modoki, central-based event?, -IOD, -PMM, +AMO, -QBO, still active sun; high solar/geomag, but descending from the solar max peak of last winter, *possible* average to below average Atlantic hurricane season; along with either average to below average ACE, very likely below to well below average arctic sea ice again. Other than that, I wouldn’t venture into guessing the possible oscillation (PNA, EPO, WPO, AO, NAO) states until we are into fall

We have months of heat and dews awaiting despite those holding on to losing daylight lol.

Count this down

Monday Sunny and hot, with a high near 104. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 84. that’s the point and click for Baltimore

The summers really shifted to much warmer back in 2010. We haven’t had a single cool summer by long term averages since 2009. Our only below average summers for temperatures have been 2014, 2017, and 2023. And even those summers were slightly cooler only due to the rising 30 year means. They would have been pretty average summers for temperatures in past 30 year climate eras. So we have had a remarkable 12 out of the last 15 summers warmer to record warm. Plus the 70° and 75° dew point days have reached record levels also. From 2010 to 2013 we had a strong focus of 100° heat mostly in July. This was when the all-time summer high of 108° was set in several locations. But during the 2020s we have already seen local all-time highs for the month of June. This will be the 3rd year this decade with 100° heat in June. But July 2022 set the record for consecutive 100° day at 5 in Newark. So this coming record heatwave is following the same 2020s pattern of 100°+ heat in June. This reminds me of monsoon climates around the world which experience their greatest summer heat in June before the summer monsoon arrives. It will be something to monitor going forward. Since each June in the 2020s that reached 100° was followed by 10”+ rain in a few hours to days like last summer and 2021 at some later point.

NOAA has noted the obstruction of the trees.

Our watch was upped to a warning at around 2AM starting 11AM Sunday. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MAZ004&warncounty=MAC027&firewxzone=MAZ004&local_place1=Hubbardston MA&product1=Extreme+Heat+Warning&lat=42.4804&lon=-71.993

Oh I just meant with sun and heat . I don’t think there’s any chance SNE sees the MCS. We don’t get those or anything exciting whatsoever . So just ruling it out

Extreme Heat Watch hoisted Hazardous Weather Conditions Heat Advisory in effect from June 22, 11:00 AM EDT until June 22, 08:00 PM EDT Extreme Heat Watch in effect from June 23, 11:00 AM EDT until June 24, 08:00 PM EDT

Tomorrow we start the countdown to December 21st, lose 3 minutes of daylight the next week

It's amazing what a difference low dewpoints make.

What an amazing evening last night. Needed to cut the grass before this scorching heat made it impossible to do. Nice cool breeze afterwards. 67 and sunny now.

I think even if NYC recorded a high of 75 you would somehow try to spin that shit as valid

Probably splits with Maine and NY/VT getting it.

The importance of an offshore wind at JFK cannot be overstated. The ultimate June example: June 27, 1966 highs: Central Park: 101; JFK Airport: 82.

West is best Sunday

Could be a lousy day though late day

No problem. You have a good sense of humor. It’s pretty wild how extreme these 500mb ridges have become over the last decade. I guess if the magnitude of the February 2018 ridge anomaly with the 80° record warmth occurred in the summer months, then it would be something like a 605+ dm ridge. But this ridge with the coming record June heat in a few days will be more than enough than most people want to see.

I have a forecast of three consecutive triple digit days to start next week. As far as I can recall, I have never seen that in my 8 years here. Can anyone recall the last time it was as hot as this forecast (especially for that many days)?

Yeah. I was noticing a trend to return to misery late in the week. We toss.

Doesn’t look like anything exciting late night. All the good instability is in NY state. Could be good for nrn NY into VT. Maybe a little better out west by Berks.