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Since 1970, (at least through 2010), Philadelphia's heat island has been fairly stable. Here's a paper: https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/pubs/jrnl/2023/nrs_2023_locke_001.pdf

Where did you find data about things like a day-by-day count of days by MJO phase?

The BC forest fire situation has been relatively dormant all summer and these fires on Vancouver Island are relatively small and should be easier to fight than the massive blazes in remote areas of northern SK. Fire fighting in near-population parts of Canada is conducted in the same way as in the western U.S. and with the same success rates. There is no political foundation for any strategy of ending the forest fire risk by levelling our forests, in particular the progressives who control politics in Canada would go ballistic if anyone seriously suggested this. We've had bad forest fire seasons in the past too, this is not some new phenomenon. A large portion of northern Ontario was burned out in the summer of 1916. I can recall bad forest fire seasons in 1977 and 1980 in central Canada. Back in the day a thick forest fire haze was quite normal in the west, in an era before fire suppression began, and that is as recently as the 1920s and early 1930s. People only started to organize fire suppression in recent decades.

dewpoint is 54 in the city.. very comfortable..

It should be noted that the July 1980 mean monthly temperature of 92.0° at Dallas-Fort Worth has been exceeded by two months. August 2011 (93.4°) and August 2023 (92.9°) were hotter.

I think the count this morning was like 507 out of control fires and they are attacking (one way or another) 208 of them. The rest I'm not sure there is any way to reach them without a skimmer.

No doubt the global temperature is rising exponentially, but I don't think a +0.4F change (after some Strong El Nino) creates all these bubbles of like +6-8f differences. That has a lot to do with the pattern. I don't think the 15-16 and 23-24 El Nino's were turning points that we are never coming back from, meaning like an amplified SE ridge in permanence or something. PDO and NAO decadal is, per statistics, 5x more likely to be cyclical rather than "random", given the 150 years of data that we have.

Looking like the Pike and Rt poop have the worst

yeah I read of that correlation during the spring 2024 when the plumes came south. just sayn'

Noticabley more smog as you near Smoke Tiger's hood. Must be the wider exhaust pipes.

We haze we tan we pool

The official AQI numbers seem too low. Very heavy smoke down in Northampton and the network of home monitors is in the red.

Watched an excellent story on woodland fires and prescribed burning. Now that adults are running things,we will see a massive effort to clear dead wood and burning.

We smell

Pic? Can you smell it? Just hazy beautiful day here.

Yeah. They’re trying to fight them too. I say let them go and burn hot like they naturally would. Finish off all of that dry, dead wood and stop the smoldering.

Enjoy I have been a lot with this perfect weather

Holy smokes Smoke em if you got em Heavy heavy smoke

Definitely going to take a hit in Western Mass. The smoke is getting heavier as the day goes on.

Yep..."in this new, warmer climate"...tells you all you need to know.

Can we 15 yr old hype like this? Hazy sun 80 degrees oh the humanity

I think he's like 300 years ahead of time. I vision a map where the whole Hemisphere is warm, warmest at the Poles and NAO and EPO and warm underneath. That's the vision I think he's sticking to. We've had some real cold in the Midwest during -EPO periods the past several Winters. The global circulation still works.

I do think part of the problem with this year is some of these fires never went out from last year. Like they smoldered in some peat bog overwinter and then erupted this spring again. Also they recently traced a fire start back to an osprey that dropped a fish on a wire that sparked. So it's really easy to start a fire when it's dry. Hell I've even done some dumb shit trying to take care of brush in my fire pit.

Yeah I believe it. I haven’t looked into the origins of these. And I’m not insinuating arson…just the ol’ “oopsy I thought I had it out” deal. I won’t claim to be an expert on this. Maybe I’m totally full of shit.