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I think we'd all prefer a region-wide derecho vs. another 2011 or 1953

90's were a hotbed of 'rechos

Smokey. Can smell it and see it. I guess the NE breeze is a bit stronger. Didn't really notice anything earlier in the day.

Until tomorrow.

There's a interesting outflow boundary today in Texas. Some clear skies in the outflow, with scattered storms on the boundary.

EPS mean's making up for CC credits this spring... It's like what's been missing gets added in one 5 day stint. Under a solstice sun. zomb

Probably around the 24th-27th is a decent shot.

Yes.

I’m pretty confident that under 70 afternoons are gone from Monday on for a long spell. Let’s get some 95-102 days in here!

Got a little warmer here than I expected. Sun has finally made its appearance, though certainly not a blue sky kinda day. The lower visibilities are apparent when looking south towards Sugarloaf (which I can hardly see) and w/nw to the Catoctin's.

we have to look at 90 degree days to judge heat not average temperatures. In September 1983 for example, there were 7 90 degree days and a scorching 99 on September 11th. I wonder how many Junes have had 7 90 degree days and peaked at 99? Maybe a couple at most.

It's really like it begins now... From this point on you're gaining a little more summer vibes every day. Front on Thursday is a whisky variety ( severe?) and it's mostly a dry line ...setting stage for a synoptic roll out and the heat arrives.

I think he means a snowstorm to break the dews in December.

My statement was based off the already fake and overly warm latest climate normals.

Well the thing is.. there really is no end

Not sure where that is but SNE General was under .15. A terrible job by anyone calling for rain and using euro

hoping we can manage some big storms at the end of it

July 2, 1993 we had a split of 66/62 (actually similar to today with windy onshore flow and heavy rain.) A few days later we were off to the races with one of the most extreme heatwaves on record and one of the hottest summers on record, many of whose records still stand today (3 days in a row of 100+ at NYC, 5 days in a row of 100+ at EWR and 9 100+ days for the season at EWR, most 90 degree days at NYC with 39, tied 1991.)

If we can keep the ridge from elongating too much into SE Canada in later runs, then a flatter EPS high like below will keep the flow more westerly.

Yes, I wonder if 1980 would be a good analog, I think we had big storms and big heat that summer. A late starting summer but it lasted a long time.

We have to look at recent trends more, September become a summer month now. Even October.

And maybe big storms. Sometimes we see derechos or big storm complexes on the periphery of these heat dome ridges.

This kind of reminds me of the evolution of the hot summer of 1980. From Tony's daily posts you can see that there were a bunch of cold low records from 1980 even at JFK from early to mid June. But the summer really began around June 20th as heat from the west expanded eastward. Although Saint Louis was the epicenter of the heat that summer, NYC had their hottest July-August couplet on record that year with those 62 days averaging over 80 degrees with August 1980 the hottest August on record here! The heat matched up with astronomical summer really well as it began on June 20th and ended September 20th. I remember a few of us brought up 1980 as an analog to this summer.

Sun’s out! Up to 59°

Yes that definitely looks like a NW flow event here, we could have the highest temperatures of the tristate area here!!