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GaWx started following 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
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The posters/forecasters I favor the heaviest have neither a bullish nor a bearish bias from my perspective.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I understand that, but that doesn't explain why the Martinsburg temperatures are consistently 5F warmer than surrounding towns in that era. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I know it’s the flight. But considering your start I didn’t expect your BAC to be much below 0.15 during the trip. -
Central PA Summer 2025
TheClimateChanger replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What? It never gets above 90F on Mount Chesco! -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That was the dust bowl heat setting records in many states https://www.weather.gov/ilx/july1936heat https://www.weather.gov/arx/heat_jul36 https://arcfieldweather.com/blog/2023/7/13/715-am-the-deadly-heat-wave-of-july-1936-in-the-middle-of-one-of-the-hottest-summers-on-record-across-the-nation -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
May of 96 had that record heat in May 99 in EWR, even in the cooler summers there may be spikes of heat. -
Just wanted to point out your “max 90 or above (since April 1)” is wrong. It says 1, but you’ve had 3.
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Summary of latest model progs for Nino 3.4: coolest month (these don’t take into account RONI type of adjustments downward) BoM (Australian): -0.2 (in August)(too warm overall in prior 2 years; last July was slightly too warm with -0.17 for OND vs actual of ~-0.4) Euro: ~-0.2 (almost always has been too warm…July forecast last year was only down to -0.11 for NDJ vs actual of ~-0.5) JMA: ~-0.9 (Nov)(did well 2 years ago but too cool last year as July forecast had -0.87 for OND vs actual of ~-0.4) MetFrance: ~-0.6 (Dec)(July outlook too warm 2 years ago but did fairly well last year with it actually slightly too cool with -0.61 OND vs actual of ~-0.4) CFS: -0.5 (Nov)(last July much too cold with -1.32 for OND!) UKMET: -0.76 (Oct) (this is from June as I don’t see July outlook yet)(last July much too cool with -0.95 in OND) ———— So, my latest guess based on last year’s errors and current forecasts (all listed above) is for ONI low point this fall/winter of -0.4. That would likely mean RONI low of -0.6 to -0.9.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Redeveloping again. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
You just know that user @FPizz is going to chime in with a poo emoji, and there it is! I post a very reasonable critique of a clearly bogus reading, and that's the response. I see him typing something else up, wonder what it could be? It's like an IQ test. Anyone with any knowledge of meteorology/weather knows such variance is implausible/impossible, so you have to either willfully pretend its plausible despite the physical impossibility or, well you know... -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
mreaves replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Looks like VT's annual July 10-11 flooding rains moved south. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
112F in Martinsburg, yeah, I don't believe that. It was 103F in Hagerstown and 105F in Kearneysville on the same date, right next door. Hot day, but it's not 7-9F hotter in Martinsburg than neighboring towns. More bogus nonsense, so we can hear how it was so much hotter in the past and climate change is a hoax. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It definitely was, I just thought at 5a it would already have started to mature. Kind of boring without thunder lol. Did have a few fumbles earlier -
Some will say I'm making a big deal out of nothing, but if you look at all the surrounding sites, you'll see only 2010 was consistently warmer in recent years, with years like 1994 & 2024 comparable to this June, which jives with the official statewide rankings. If you looked at the DCA records, you'd think a whole slew of years in the 2010s were warmer - 2008, 2014, 2015, 2017... etc.? I mean 2014 - that was a relatively chilly summer? Not even close to 2025 anywhere else on the planet. What a joke.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
RIP Andy's Netflix subscription -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We board the cruise tomorrow. This is the flight! But all of that isn’t for me lol…it’s for my girlfriend too. I asked for two bacardis and they gave me three. -
Yeah, GSO has 6 consecutive hours of thunderstorm obs. That is pretty rare I would have to imagine. It wasn't just occasional thunder either, it was mostly at least every minute or two during that timeframe
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Weird. 5th warmest June on record in West Virginia, Virginia, and Delaware. 4th warmest in Maryland. But only tied for 18th warmest at DC. Yeah, ok... but, I bet we'll still have people bellyaching (hallucinating?) about supposed urban heat islands and tarmac heat islands.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NJ was significantly warmer in 2014 than NYC and Long Island. Some spots approached 30 days reaching 90°. Plus we had 100° heat in June 2017 and numerous spots with 20+ days reaching 90. Data for January 1, 2014 through December 31, 2014 Days With 90° Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. SOMERDALE 4 SW COOP 29 POTTERSVILLE 2 NNW COOP 28 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 27 WRIGHTSTOWN COOP 26 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 23 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 19 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 17 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 17 HARRISON COOP 16 Newark Area ThreadEx 15 TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 15 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 15 Monthly Data for June 2017 for Upton NY NWS CWA Monthly High Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 101 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 99 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 98 NJ HARRISON COOP 98 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 98 Data for January 1, 2017 through December 31, 2017 Days with 90° Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. WRIGHTSTOWN COOP 33 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 26 CANOE BROOK COOP 25 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 24 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 24 HARRISON COOP 23 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 22 TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 22 Newark Area ThreadEx 22 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 22 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 20 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 20 -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I expect a step back from last year in the extra tropical Pacific before a more concerted and and consistent recovery takes place, thereafter. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Make sure you have your arms spread out like Rose while heaving that out over the ship rails. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
WxWatcher007 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Potential was there. Looks like your area maximized it. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
6.05”. Some areas near me reporting 6.4”. A prolific event. Did not expect that when I got up. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England