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I wish I was in Denver today
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Frost and then perhaps a "Scott Spinner" this aftn-eve!
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About 8” now, and power went out an hour ago. The trees are already drooping a lot.
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Maybe 80s tube socks and frayed jorts like socks used to wear?
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don't think it will be another deep -PDO, but that doesn't necessarily mean we will get a se tought. -
Out in jeans flip flops and a tee?
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I know ...but that's the tip off. I mean, there's only so much Earth can do. haha
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The breeze is wonderful. Would be hot otherwise. Bring it 80/51
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Most all is green in my area of Frederick. Oddly enough have a few trees that are struggling to leaf out from bud stage on the tree line behind my house. Where I noticed the lack of rain is when mulching my front beds yesterday with my perennials the dirt is dry and compact. Looking back my station logged 2.52” for the month of April. On the 1st 0.38”, 5th 0.73”, 19th 0.47”, 25th 0.22” and on the 29th 0.59”. Glorious day today though. Out on the deck eating lunch. Wind is a bit wild though and thinking the table umbrella needs to come down. Stalking DC weather for Saturday as the older Ms. J is graduating from college. Graduation is indoors but would be nice for a bit of sun. She is in the 9 am graduation slot.
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There's a few demons in here for sure. I can understand not being 95/75...but 80 and low humidity?
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Ha.... better than "flawless" that's a neat trick... But you know, in quantum mechanics there can apparently be to concurrent states so ... maybe you can have both perfect and perfect Haven't looked at the weekend yet
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It's -SAD, or "summer SAD" in psychobabble, Scott. (he/she is not the only one I suspect suffers that in here )
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Sunday may be even better
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no matter what the species... they're called 'widow makers' for a reason. heh
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Thursday's a top 10 ...maybe top 5 day if using these raw FOUS grid numbers ( NAM). 7 kts NW down sloping compression under +3 or +4 850 mb. Mixing probably limited to 900 or 875 but with unadulterated early solar max irradiance at 100%, the sounding will been dry air unstable to 900 feet or so and it will be warmer than standard adiabat in the lowest layer That's approaching flawless.
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Hard to imagine ghouls like Ineedsnow prefer 45 and rain over this. You wonder what went on during their childhood.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If that's the case, then I guess you're pretty much certain on a flip to +PDO. Probably going to mean an AN temperature winter, but I'd take my chances of this (both 1982 and 2015 had a major snowstorm), rather than a deep -PDO robust el nino like 1972 or 2023. -
78° at noon I’ve been waiting for this for 7 long months.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Precisely what we don't want. -
AnEndlessMaze changed their profile photo
- Today
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When I used to work as a camp counselor over the summer there were a few kids sitting under a tree during lunch. I didn't see this happen because I was inside with a few of the kids, but a large limb fell out of nowhere and just missed the kid. Extremely scary stuff. I believe it was a giant oak but it was rotting...the town quickly came in and they either completely took it down or significantly trimmed it
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No chance this ends up like 2009-2010. 1982 is the ceiling, 2015 the floor. -
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They are messy but the shade is great. We have one next to our house that I like and curse at the same time.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I do not agree with @mitchnick...I think the modoki index is going to be pretty useless this season...TBH, I wonder if that is losing utility like the ONI as a byproduct of CC. I bet the key is going to be watching the relationship between the RONI and ONI...the larger separation (assuming RONI is lower), the more ill-defined the Aleutian low/se trough will be, and the shittier the eastern winter. We may need to come up with some sort of index for that.
