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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
12Z RRFS targets a narrow area from SE NY into SW CT. Lets wash away Oxford again. -
It's 96 with a dewpoint of 76. Heat Index is 112. Seems a bit high for a mere heat advisory Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Now up to 97 here, the third hottest temperature of the year (after the 100+ readings in June) and the hottest in July so far!!! Not only are there no clouds today there's no sea breeze either!!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Tomorrow night but yes. The mesos generally agree that there will be a 3-6" bullseye somewhere between Philly and NYC with everyone else getting 1-2". -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, I saw the NWS put out a video about it. I wonder if there's a way to find out what the WBGT was in some of our bigger heatwaves (including this one and the one back in June). It also reminds me of the newer EF scale for tornadoes. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Does WBGT give a *this is what this temperature feels like to an average person* kind of reading? From what I saw, it was an index that goes up to 90? It's a little different. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Good soaker CT into BOS. Well north of mesos. Not sure I buy that area as the jack. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes it factors in sun angle, wind speed and amount of cloudiness too. It can be directly measured with instruments. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
HunterdonWxguy86 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Think the Completion of the HREF showed as much as 10" MAX in NJ!! -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Congrats CT on the 12z Euro -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah, the heat index tends to underestimate the heat compared to WBGT. https://perryweather.com/resources/heat-index-wet-bulb-globe-temp/ When it comes to measuring heat, not all conditions are created equal. The heat index only accounts for shady areas, giving a false sense of comfort, while the wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is designed for areas exposed to the sun, offering a more accurate reflection of how the body actually experiences heat. The heat index ignores the brutal realities of direct sunlight, hot surfaces, and even physical exertion. Here’s why that’s a problem: -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yea but looking at WBGT, doesn't that actually make numbers hotter compared to HI? -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Kevin Reilly replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
So long it doesn't visit me in Kitty Hawk Outer banks I am fine. I will be there August 2nd to August 9th. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
FPizz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
No one ever references dewpoints when talking about hot temps. They reference 90 degree temps like you said. Plus we will probably switch to wbgt within a few years which measures real feel much much better than the outdated method now. Kind of how they switched wind chill measurements in 2001. 93 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
95 by me dp 68. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I just looked through your graphs and it looks like 1949 was really hot too (mins even higher than 1983 and the maxes were right behind 1983), you shared the graph for 1983, what was going on in 1949 that made it so hot? -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's really hard to average that high over a month because all it takes is a few days below average and a bunch of days near average and then even if 20 out of 30 days were a decent amount above normal at night your average gets dragged down. The latest average low in July at LGA is 72. For example if you have 5 lows at -2 departure , 5 days at 0 departure, 10 days at +3 departure and 10 days at +5 departure, even though most lows were very warm the whole month's lows comes out to +2.3 degrees. Central Park's average July low is 70 so for them it's significantly harder to have any monthly average low of 76. LGA is currently 73.2 degrees for the average monthly low despite the heat. -
I've read a few articles that the Os could be in on starters with team control beyond this year. I doubt it happens but you never know I guess. The Os will need to be busy in the off season for starting pitching. With Eflin,Sugano and Morton all gone this week or at the end of the season they've got some work to do.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The max is currently around 5th-6th warmest for July. The min is in 1st place just ahead of 2010. The AVG is in 3rd place behind 2010. The heat index which takes into account the dew points set a new July record this month at 91.5° vs 90.0° in July 2010. So the drier heat back in July 2010 made it feel slightly cooler. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul Max Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 89.0 0 2 2011 88.6 0 3 2022 86.9 0 4 1993 86.8 0 5 2019 86.7 0 - 1966 86.7 0 6 2025 86.6 2 7 2013 86.5 0 - 1999 86.5 0 8 2020 86.4 0 - 1983 86.4 0 9 1949 86.2 0 10 2002 86.1 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul Min Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025 72.7 2 2 2010 72.5 0 3 2013 72.4 0 4 2020 72.2 0 5 2022 71.6 0 6 2015 71.5 0 7 2016 71.4 0 - 1995 71.4 0 8 2024 71.2 0 - 1955 71.2 0 9 1994 71.1 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul AGV Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 80.7 0 2 2011 79.8 0 3 2025 79.6 2 4 2013 79.5 0 5 2022 79.3 0 - 2020 79.3 0 6 2019 78.8 0 7 1999 78.7 0 - 1993 78.7 0 8 2016 78.6 0 - 1983 78.6 0 - 1949 78.6 0 9 2015 78.4 0 - 2012 78.4 0 10 1994 78.1 0 -
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Intensewind002 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's hot but not disgusting out here, 91/67 -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s similar to how I had 6.5” in like 3 hrs here. I think it’s hard in the summer if you’re relying on 850-700 stuff to deliver the goods. Give me a 30kt+ LLJ at 925 ripping over the WF. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Now I noticed a few more things-- 1949 (JFK's second year of history) was the only July that averaged 85+ degrees for the max until July 1983, talk about a predictor for summers to come!! It's still in the top 10 (9th place) and 1983 is still in 3rd place!! for *feels like* 1983 is in 4th place behind the three I had already mentioned and 1949 is just behind it in 7th place!! for mins 1949 is even hotter than 1983?? Neither of them are in the top 5 but both are in the top 10 of all Julys, number 9 and number 10 actually!!