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71/33 split yesterday
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Near record upper low off of Southern California matches with the extreme east based forcing leading to the ridge shifting into the East later in October. -
Hopefully that would set us up for the 6 week reload right around the holidays.
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Big ole ocean storm off our coast. Big ole ocean storm moving towards southern California. I don't care what JB says or any computer. The signs of a very exciting winter are definitely starting to emerge imo.
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White oaks are super underrated. I know there's not a lot of them in New England. We have lots here in Maryland. The thing about the oaks and hickory is that they turn late. I call it second peak. White oaks get auburn and purple. The reds oaks get bronze, and the hickory trees get gold. I live how the backdrop is gray from bare softwood trees during second peak. Oaks are the king of the forest.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Watch it. He does a great job explaining the winter. Also watch weather with Travis. -
Gotta love having to move the Y axis. 12c is just absurd. The amount of extra heat energy contained in that will move the entire global temperature up again. .
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different planet, different, much weaker/incomparable nino ensembles mild into november maybe one of us gets lucky at some point but we should all learn to embrace the pacific because it's coming
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Central PA Autumn 2026
Mount Joy Snowman replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
39 upon leaving the home front this morning. Not much more can be said about this perfect week. -
Don’t feel bad I know the team I’m rooting for and am quite use to how bad they are lol
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My new spot here gets pretty impressive radiational cooling inversions unlike back on the Long Island South Shore. One of the more interesting effects on a handful of occasions was the marsh gasses getting trapped under the inversions. Probably the most pungent smell that you can imagine. As my area has a great wetlands habitat which transitions into rolling hills with in less than a mile.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
OISST RONI up to over +2.8C -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The modoki-style forcing out near the Dateline following the shutdown of the MJO 5 forcing which drove the record warmth in December. The hand-off of the forcing from the MC to the DL caused the whole pattern to invert from December to January. This allowed the NP low to back off in the Pacific from late January into early February. -
Yeah, in Phoenix Brrrr... Good for the emerging drought I always trust the 40 day outlook Truer words Truer words Nah, more fun with overcast skies and a chill in the air. Water freezes at 32 (google it) What's a DISTRUPTION? No no no Where there's a will... This is a made up word
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I know this is out of region, but interesting to me, and perhaps some others. Something to watch over the next 34-36 hours is an extremely rare severe outbreak potential over Central Arizona. From what I've heard and read, this is only the second time ever that the region was under an enhanced severe risk.
