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No one knows. It's a crap shoot. Your friend, Wolfie
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2.0" fell on December 29, 1917. -
Maybe back to a dry pattern after?
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I think the absence of Darrisaw was a big factor in how JJM looked the first two weeks. Darrisaw just completely eliminating Hendrickson from that game was great.
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I'm talking about upper climo... Pattern aloft has to have a semblance of a known pattern that has in the past allowed for a landfall? We can certainly have some odd tracks when 2 circulations interfere with each other. But their tracks still will be controlled by the upper levels.
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also depends on timing
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ya but over a week out still.. things can change
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really wish the 18z EPS went past hr144 ..
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Gotta stop looking at models and more into pattern recognition.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
18z EUr with twin storms riding around the Atl Ridge offshore the southeast coast Tuesday. 18z GFS seems to merge them -
73/67 as we come up on the hour. WTF…
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Should be a fun drought monitor on Thursday while it’s pouring.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
No wonder Jeff Smith was talking about massive flooding potential in the evening newscast today! He did say we would clear in time for the weekend and maybe as early as Friday morning the sun would come out. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wow those were two truly historic blizzards who would have thought Cape May was the snowfall capital of NJ with 34 inches of snow in that 1899 blizzard lol. and that 1872 storm would be an absolutely amazing storm to have on Boxing Day, does this mean we actually have three Boxing Day blizzards? In 1872, 1947 and 2010? Boxing Day blizzards are more common than President's Day blizzards lol. Don how much snow did we have during that December 29, 1917 day when the low was -6 and the high was 8, that must have been an extremely rare day with a high in the single digits and a low well below 0!! -
18z Euro further west with both storms at hr144 usually don't have two storms competing with each other.. so can you really use climo?
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Yeah it’s crazy though, such a different vibe after the last few weeks of generally cool and dry weather. I friggin love it!
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most showing it but who knows
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes Oymjakon is the coldest inhabited town on the entire planet. -
Good luck with that.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
But isn't this normal Chris? Siberia is the coldest permanently inhabited place in the world and Oymjakon specifically is considered the coldest town on the entire planet (along with Verkhoyansk) they comprise the famous Cold Pole. This is a nice change from when they were blazingly hot and wildfires were burning there though. -
Ya' today has been a bust. Some showers moving across E NY and PA so we'll see if those hold together...
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That was the first of two pink snowstorms I have seen in my entire life-- at sunrise it was still snowing heavily but the clouds were starting to break up and it looked like a pink blizzard was happening outside for awhile. I think Far Rockaway jackpotted in that storm (Jamaica Bay effect snow?) if I remember correctly they had 11 or 12 inches of snow? LGA had 80:1 ratios and the rest of us had 25:1 to 40:1 ratios.