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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would think warmer water in the Gulf of Alaska and Bering Strait would be a cause of more arctic ice melt, which is more +PDO... but the arctic ice melt has completely gone bare on the Pacific side of the Arctic circle, and the PDO has gone to new record low levels during and after that time, so something may be connecting them.. although maybe not directly -
And so it did. For a couple of hours in the early afternoon, weak flow aloft created mostly stationary thunderstorms over the southern FL peninsula. The image as follows is a few hours later, around sunset. Eventually, storms grew over downtown FLL just east of here (opposite direction of pic below) and delivered around 1.5-2" of rain with great lightning.
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We Love Cats and Kittens joined the community
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In theory, a -QBO should destabilize the tropical tropopause and cause a stronger, more robust MJO and on equator forcing/convection. Maybe this erratic behavior with the westward propagations and weak/low amplitude MJO waves is only temporary and will change as we go deeper into spring? Strong -IOD/La Niña playing a role? I’m honestly not sure besides saying to take a wait and see approach
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Most models with a good 1 to 2" soaking for Thursday into Friday. Possibly less for LI -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Forgot to report back. For what it's worth, while much of the 95 corridor and SE of there from Wilmington to NYC got hammered, our son's wedding location about 5 miles south of Philly escaped with zero rain from 3-5 pm, so we could've had the outdoor ceremony, in hindsight. However, I still think we made the right call moving the ceremony indoors as there was 1/2" of rain and severe t-storms with lightning and very gusty winds and a few downed trees just 3-4 miles east and south of our location between 3-4 pm (we could see the dark skies and hear the thunder) and there could not have been any way to predict that those storms would just miss us - if they had hit our location it would have been a mess and pretty dangerous. We only got some light/moderate showers in the early evening. Plus, it was way more comfortable indoors and the wedding was a smashing success on all fronts, with a beautiful ceremony, some great food and drink, and 2+ hours of awesome dance music. Luckily for us, our son and his now wife are big fans of punk/alt/ska/indie music from the 70s to today (and some great Motown/classic rock/great pop too), so we all got to dance to songs like Temptation by New Order, Last Night by the Strokes, Sound System by Operation Ivy, Let's Stay Together by Al Green, and I'm a Believer by the Monkees to name a few. -
Time to promote Pagano to DC. Lucky to have him back on the staff, and he has been successful as a DC and a HC. Hell fire Harbaugh and make Pagano the HC.
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Just a tremendous satellite presentation tonight. Awfully impressive considering that Gab had a foot in the grave a few days ago.
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I'm more down on the D-coordinator. You can't have that much talent on defense and be so bad.. I'm talking about the secondary. I think it's bad play calling. Last season we started 31st then finished 1st in the last 8 games, so hopefully this year is the same.. but I think we probably need a new defensive coach, they look like they are always lagging behind the offense instead of creating their own momentum
- Today
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Hill is ineffective for whatever reason, but we have a dopey coach who wont play Mitchell....because Ali is so great at returning kicks
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Justice Hill doesn't look as good as he did the past 2 years. Maybe he didn't practice in the offseason or something. Good thing we have Mitchell!
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If he isn't I will find something more productive to do lol. Like pull weeds..
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Something tells me he will be activated next week. Oh boy...tough times in the flock AND Birdland, lol
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Come on dude. Henry has zero quickness- needs a pretty big seam to get going. Mitchell is smaller with bigtime quickness. Perfect for a an interior OL that struggles to open big holes, and can also run outside, and run pass patterns downfield, which Henry cannot do. Henry is a one dimensional bruiser- who now fumbles in critical moments of the game. That alone always puts a player in the Harbaugh doghouse. We shall see.
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For all of Harbaugh's flaws...throughout his tenure he has always had this team ready play in primetime at home. They are always juiced up! But before tonight we had a grand total of two losses in 17 years years. But tonight felt different...they didn't have that edge they usually do in these games. If Harbaugh is losing that ability too...then it's definitely time to retire.
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Keeping track from Greece at 6am Tuesday. Haven’t seen a game yet but reading comments and watching text update play-by-plays, Ravens sound/appear awful so far.
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Unfortunately good call about the game tonight (and strangely I felt like your feeling about the game might be correct but didn't wanna believe it, lol).
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Just move through the season with an eye on 2026--it'll be much easier I promise, lol (now obviously the firing Harbaugh variable is what that is contingent on though)
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Lions played better. Hopefully Ravens can get their defense together in time for the playoffs.. we have 5 pro bowlers on defense. When the Lions were 4th and 3 from the 5 and the CBs were playing in the end zone, I was like huh?? They did a short hook for the 1st down. Passing game looks really good though, with DeAndre Hopkins looking like a great pickup. And Likely is very underrated too, when he comes back.. offense is pretty loaded.
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Mitchell would not have been effective tonight--not with the way our OL was playing. If king Henry wasn't finding holes why would Mitchell?
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Looking forward to the first widespread soaking autumn stratoform rain event hopefully sometime in later October. Tired of seeing all these convective clusters missing or dying before they get here. Since we can't cash in on those we need a good widespread rainer. DVN only 0.17" for the month. What a horrific pattern these past 8 weeks.
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Henry has fumble-itus and has a slowwwww first step with an OL that sucks. Too bad we don't have a lighting quick back on the roster..
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Two straight games where they didn't even sniff 100 yds rushing. Defense gave up 200. Lots of problems on both sides of the ball now. Harbaugh will fix it all though.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
No rain today, but we had a decent shower last evening for about 45 minutes. Our Poplar trees a starting to dump on September 22nd. That seems early to me. -
Don't put Lamar back in this game. Its over.
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What a joke. Gonna be 1-3.