All Activity

looks promising for a blizzard

1.6" and winding down.

.25” 30°

Blizzard in ORD come on guys lmao Enjoy your rainstorm. I will do the same. Unfortunate bust for pretty much all of us.

Maybe next October

CPC increased El Nino chances by 15% Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

What a ridge in the West and Midwest!

S tier, really. Hope we don’t pay too high of a price for it later.

Snowing

1.2" of snow in the last hour here. Definitely was not expecting this tonight.

Coastal signal past 300 but thats it for me.

Long range gfs but blocking continues. Lets see what happens here. Good to see blocking developing not only on gfs

You clearly don't understand how strong cold air advection works especially behind a very powerful sfc low. Will there be massive snow totals down here? No. But there will be snow and it won't take much to get blizzard conditions. A strong cf is going to surge east and as the upper dynamics swing overhead you will get a deformation band stretching far south behind the low.

I have no idea what this means brother.

i'm hoping for something?

Enjoy your wishcasting brother. I respect the hope you’re holding onto.

God if this verifies…with the insane winds. I’m still recovering from that at work.

doc, did you switch accounts?

Literally not a single model expect the recent NAM moving it SE. I’m being realistic. If you’re south of mid Wisconsin or Mid - Michigan you can enjoy a rain storm. .

SOI remains very positive for a developing Stronger El Nino 13 Mar 2026 1013.78 1004.20 26.18 15.03 10.39 12 Mar 2026 1012.94 1003.80 24.08 14.12 10.15 11 Mar 2026 1012.23 1003.95 19.96 13.50 9.83 10 Mar 2026 1012.41 1004.15 19.86 12.99 9.54 9 Mar 2026 1013.31 1004.00 24.89 12.33 9.38 8 Mar 2026 1013.00 1003.05 27.95 11.43 9.31 7 Mar 2026 1012.90 1002.50 30.11 10.84 9.13 6 Mar 2026 1012.74 1003.30 25.51 10.77 8.71 5 Mar 2026 1010.85 1003.90 13.59 10.96 8.17 4 Mar 2026 1011.34 1003.15 19.53 11.31 7.65 3 Mar 2026 1010.85 1002.70 19.34 11.46 6.95 2 Mar 2026 1010.44 1002.95 16.18 11.70 6.42 1 Mar 2026 1011.79 1003.40 20.49 11.80 6.11 28 Feb 2026 1011.80 1003.50 17.10 11.49 5.74 Lots of month to go, but March is currently on pace to be the Most +SOI month since before the 23-24 Strong Nino. Later-in-the-year Strong Nino March's: 2023: -1.78 2015: -10.7 1997: -7 1991: -10.1 1982: +0.7 1972: +1.2 1965: +2.1 ^since 1950

Anyone not believing this is going further and further NE - yall are cray crazy. No hope left here.

CoastalWx will LUV the Feb 1995 event snow map!!! "NOR'EASTER '95" was the tagline how WBZ lead their news that day (he has told me that many times), and I think that was the first time CoastalWx realized the cheesy hype wx was becoming in the MSM (Hurricane Andrew and Bliz of 93 not long before were the catalysts)!

Gem ice

Other than 2023. March has been dead locally. It’s the new slump month.