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The Kuchera map

FWIW, The stratospheric guru Judah Cohen thinks there’s going to be a major strengthening of the SPV in January

What map? The forecast for the dec 23rd event?

This could be a bad storm in terms of freezing rain, and some wind, and models look like the temps on most of models not breaking the freezing mark until Sunday.

Its pivoting to the west some now.

Might wind up with north of 15+ based on this. Today Snow, mainly before noon. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 23 by 5pm. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Can you explain why exactly this is going to be a very high ratio snow other than “it’s going to be very cold”?

You nailed that map in your posts, it's the weeniest map of them all.

It's warm and a little windy this morning

Already is

I think it's notable that while some aspects of this system didn't play out as planned, the IT location was modeled really well by a lot of the models for several days. There was not a whole lot of flux about where it was going to line up. The mid-coast through Jeff had been the focus for a while. Meanwhile, power and internet keep flickering ftl. Looking forward to daylight to get a better sense of things.

Looks like that band is finally moving. But still.

That’s awesome Jeff. I knew someone was gonna get 18+.

need new thread. who wants to ginx it?

Standing wave of confluence

Well wouldn't that be a phenomenal series of events were that to happen. I remember reading about +EAMT events potentially being a catalyst leading towards strat disruption at some point in the past somewhere. So that makes total sense to me. Thanks for mentioning it, I kinda forgot all about that possible consequence. Yeah, these are very interesting features to keep tabs on for sure.

And who says the Germans don't have a sense of humor!

Another transformer flash.

Jesus and still dumping!!! Congrats Jeffafafafa. Take pics up there and more on it's way. We are lucky to have peeps right in the JP zone.

I thought that was just down here closer to the coast. It was evident walking the dog last night......clearing it will be a bitch.

This snow actually has some water in it.

You gotta love to see it. I haven't measured......I'm eyeballing about 10 so far--maybe more. An added bonus is the wind has started to crank--at least here on the water. Drifting is visible.

This system reminds me of Jan 14-15, 2004. Low track diving SE and snowfall gradient are similar. That's the only storm that comes to mind with this event that i can think of. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-14-15-2004

Let’s get some oranges into that