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Agreed.

Wow that’s way below the belt, like basically 12” below.

There was more space last run for it to turn and was shaper. Now you can see 18z the energy all kinda connected not allowing the lead wave to do its thing as much. Need to get that yellow connector energy out of there.

Do it. You'll be sitting this one out like the Ravens and the playoffs.

Don’t make me weenie you.

Yup, that's all we were saying. Man, accurately describing a run when it doesn't go super positive and people complaining is crazy.

It's a hold. But the bigger thing is it's still on it's own so this analysis may not matter tomorrow, lol

Look at this guy with all the egghead language.

who said the difference were huge? Who is jumping off a ledge. Like me and 5 other knowledgeable people said the same thing. Nobody said it was any major movement. What are you talking about?

This is still the one to watch for a poss moderate-low end warning event region wide. Maybe we can grab an inch or two on Saturday but the potential ceiling for that is extremely low. And sfc temps are very borderline in areas along the shore.

It’s a fine run as it shows but didn’t like the changes upstairs. The “kicker” showed up and the vort wasn’t as diggy or negative. Need 0z to stop bleeding or it’ll end up like the others.

Advisory event on the gfs for Eastern areas. Mega step back, as many expected. Now does that continue or do others come west

18Z GFS is a much tamer version of the 12z run

I'm guessing it's too soon to have any clues as to where in the basin the Niño will set up in terms of weather, central, or east? (or Modoki)

Jeez, y'all. It's a hold. There's very minor differences at h5, it phases a little worse than 12z but four days out it's a hold.

slight bump NW Besides a few GEFS members, no. AIGEFS also had a few members with bigs hits, but thats about it I'm fine with that run it actually didnt move east at all really, just weaker dynamics and didn't explode like 12Z Still 4-8 across most of CT/MA

Really reminds me of that storm last Jan 21-22 when the Euro finally shifted the precip NW in line with the GFS.

How's all your snow been this week? Seemed on the mild side but we know anything is possible at 1k in Tolland CT

NAM tease

That is for sure. I wish we were looking at this with a day to go.

Why don't you leave us alone!

The point and click seemed kind of tame with modest rain and snow chances and Southerly winds so I figured there wasn't much going on.

I guess 0z will be telling...if it gets drier then it could be backing off

Eastern shore is basically a different climate than i81, so I could absolutely see how this ends up a Richmond/Norfolk to OC special.

Only about 22mb weaker off cape cod this run. It's like it's rolling the dice with the laws of physics every run.