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the cold spell ended Tuesday-it's like warm into next week so that's 8-10 days at least

Plenty close for this range. I can tell you one thing, it’s not going to look like what that run has in the end.

Congrats Hatteras that is a hell of vort though,

I HATE North Carolina.

Wow congrats Carolinas. Their snow drought has been worse than ours of late.

Clear trend closer to a phase and less progressive on the gfs. As good as the clown was, it was close to producing a monster.

Hurt feelings run, lol

FWIW, the GFS ensemble is trending towards the Euro in regards to swinging that energy through more consolidated even if the OP is not.

Congrats North and South Carolina lol. I'm definitely not chasing a SE storm. Ewwww

Storm total

156 looks soooo close to what we need!!

It's getting there!!!!

Just where we want it.

Worth tracking…but it shouldn’t be this difficult lol.

Keep hope alive!

Not bad at all for a storm 120+hours away!!

All we need from here is for the trough to close ala 1/25/00 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2026010912&fh=156

Holy smokes for 12Z GFS

about to go negative, can this pull it off

GFS is a snowstorm for almost the entirety of the Carolinas on the 15th

lol, pendulum swinging at a 10 day storm.

Trough was way too positive for our purposes.

Really close to going boom here, I like the trends.

12z starting fine