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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
weatherwiz replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Looks like the ridge is finding a new home just in time for winter -
2026 C and E Pacific tropical activity
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
They aren’t done yet. Norbert looks like it will at least threaten the islands. Crazy Nino -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Best ENSO analog def. looks like 1997, but I still like 1982 better as a seasonal analog. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
dendrite replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
0.74” overnight. We take. Muggy this morning. Min of 65° Not 100% from the migraines so still limiting screen time. I’ll try to tackle PM responses when I can. -
Yeah you weren't kidding! I finally got around to getting them last night and putting them out. This morning I come down and there are ants scrambling in and out of the bait traps. Hundreds! I told the wife just leave them alone and see what happens by the end of the weekend.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Hopefully that gap closes a bit more, but it will be tough...maybe get it to .3. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Guidance is def. coming into better agreement on this remaining pretty east-based, as the CANSIPS is now in better agreement with the EURO in that regard, but I still think it tries to become more equally distributed once it peaks....but probably gets placed in the east-based bin when all said in done. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not sure if anyone posted the RONI and ONI values, but for JJA: RONI: +1.4 ONI: +1.8 -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Hopefully that rain Sunday morning works out and doesn’t end up a S coast special -
Congrats Apps and OHRV.
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Congrats DC?
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Looks like a two day mild down before the equinox before we warm again. We embrace the warmth. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@bluewaveInteresting how the EURO seasonal likes the OHRV for snowfall...maybe due to some modification of the STJ that you have referenced....also fits with a PDO that never goes wholesale positive. -
It's easy to look at the color scheme and want to take a plunge off of the Tobin, but it's not bad at all and fits with the more fruitful super El Nino scenarios.
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Not bad at all for down here
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Makes sense to me...entirely reasonable.
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Showers here
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Sept. EURO seasonal has DJF snowfall about 9" below average inside of rt 128, and 6" below average outside. I have no issue with that forecast. Western New England is 4-5" below.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Seminole replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Those are some really old analogs which in my mind speaks volumes how rare this current El Nino event is -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
66 for the low and super foggy. Picked up .32” of rain over night. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Yep, we tried to tell them yesterday.
