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Sept NOAA PDO continues its rise: 2024 -1.57 -1.33 -1.52 -2.11 -2.98 -3.15 -3.00 -2.91 -3.56 -3.80 -3.13 -2.03 2025 -1.28 -1.40 -1.12 -1.15 -1.66 -2.62 -4.15 -3.18 -2.38

wow JFK temperatures are really off, we've been at least in the low 80s both days of the weekend.

1940s-1950s were extremely hot

we should have had more 100 degree temperatures during the summer than the 2 we got in June. July should have hit 100+ a few times here too.

we don't have sustained temperatures above 85 degrees. it's just a few days and not even 85, more like 80

all of these things have happened before..... look maybe people are *normalizing* it because they like warmer weather? that's just how it is. many of us like cold weather during the snow season, but not at other times of the year

0Z CMC has the hybrid, too, for Sunday:

Octobers have improved since the 1980s and even the 1990s. I used to dread October back then because it was too cold to not run the heat. And as a teenager my parents had a thing about not turning on the heat in October so I would turn on the stove instead lol. Pushing that transition back to November is great on the wallet.

it is, I didn't turn on the a/c at all, this is ideal weather

60s are way too cold

don't need to lol cold air is a drain on the wallet in October, it should only get cold when it's supposed to snow, otherwise it's 100 percent useless it's not even humid, this weather is great

it's been in the 80s here both days of the weekend

this is so much better than cold weather cold weather should only happen when it snows

low humidity is what makes late season heat different, it's pretty nice, I didn't turn on my a/c at all today

Yes, because everyone there has central a/c

2013? lol In all seriousness though, might be primed for a hybrid in the coming week to ten days.

The 0Z GFS has joined the hybrid/nor’easter party for a week from today:

Of course, those aren't the only pictures I took

All the leaves were pretty much dead. Seemed like it was either summer leaf color or winter bareness. Still was very pretty. Here is are two only lightly edited pictures (first faces east, second faces west)

That's about what our snow level was during this event. Here in the Hebgen Basin we're at about 6,600 feet and we finished with a trace to an inch depending on the area etc. This was our first snowfall since the June 22 event a little over three months ago. Currently 28 and dropping. Should hit the lower teens by Tuesday morning. (This is the Madison River in YNP)

PDO finally dropped some what last month,it was the most negative this summer in July and August since 1854,record breaking months anyways,hopefully the shutdown dont last long so we can see the next update sooner than later https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/index/ersst.v5.pdo.dat

If they confirm 84F as NYC high, it's t-5 with 1931 and 1951. 1941 (94F), 1922 (89F), and 1891, 1967 (86F) were top four. It replaces 83F (2007, 2017) as warmest since 1967.

I’m beginning the MD section tomorrow! From Harper’s Ferry.

Not always though. See 2023-4, for example, which was way too cold along with most others. I did and posted an analysis here of all of them back to 2017-8. I’ll recheck it asap.

Oct 2024 had positive EPO: Oct 2023 was negative: Oct 2022 was neutral... Oct 2021 was positive. Oct 2020 looks neutral maybe slightly negative. Oct 2019 had a slightly negative EPO and 2019-20 was very positive. So looking back at the last few years, there isn't a single year where this correlation has actually existed. Maybe 2017-18 but it's weak. I think we can look at these correlations, but even in what you showed the significance seems to be pretty minor. I'm not sure this is a causal relationship at all, and if it is, it's a very, very minor factor.