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Icon looks like it has a lottle something with the CAPE storm...although the way the precip oriented hurt my feelings

Biggest run of the day for sure [emoji1787]

ICON with a uptick in moisture so far for the first wave .

I was gonna make an extrap HRRR joke but highk don't think it would be good so nvm! Biggest GFS run for 1/11/2026 past 10:25pm

It was a dumpster fire.

Didn't even bother to look at 18z. I'll take your word for it

I said this earlier and I’ll say it again: it can’t even rain here I don’t know why we think it can snow. Until we fix that it doesn’t matter if it’s cold or warm the common theme will be dry

It’s actually an improvement but don’t care what that model shows

Ok nevermind. Next up GFS!

Lack of ICON discussion should tell you something. Next up...RGEM!

right now i'd lean towards a small impact storm maybe an inch or two! i'd give it until tuesday until consensus!

Remember the 2nd thread rule? Maybe that'll work again this year.

the GFS has the TPV farther east and the ridge comes over the top, allowing the ULL to dig more compared to the ICON

Neither is ICON. Light precip at best. At some point, something has to break. We’re 3.5 days away from go time, and GFS (NAM most likely too if it was fully in range) shows a good sized storm. Euro, UK, CMC, Icon show almost nothing. Not sure I’d want to be in the GFS/Nam camp. Upper levels aloft look pretty good but it’s not translating to surface.

I love extrapolating things. Lol. ETA—Shit. I mean the NAM ETA Squared—I forgot. I’m only supposed to respond with meteorological jargon apparently. No emotions or fun. So…I saw clouds today. Wave clouds.

This should go well.

My bad. It's def not coming now

Remember, the storm can hear you. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Where you getting 5 days? It’s 84 hours out. 84/24 is 3.5 days.

See id be against it if it was the only game in town but when we got three windows we gotta be siloing out the dying ones

Went ahead and pinned this...I guess 12 hours sooner won't hurt

we need the low circled to take control from my understanding... correct me if i'm wrong

I like the nam for my backyard. Not so much for my front yard.

Well, I was gonna give it another day, but if yall want the thread, I'll leave it. Movin on over there

Yeah, for a few days there it looked like it was gonna go super zonal and just flood the continent with pacific air, but now it looks like maybe a brief moderation then cycles back by late month. Makes sense given the MJO progs as well.