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When I went to Florida my first time ever 3 years ago to visit my girlfriends parents we flew into FLL…when I hit that wall…it was amazing.

Yours, Innedsnow , Dendy’s?

Still 90 at midnight? At your house?

Love that feeling when you walk out the door and it feels like exiting FLL airport! Just hits you like a wall, no escape

That means pretty much every model is overdoing the seabreeze which is something that globals I would think would have a problem picking up properly to begin with. So if they're all showing an ocean wind cooling everyone off you'd think they'd be on to something.

The nights that it’s still 90 at midnight and 90 by 7:30 AM. No cooling . So awesome

Today being the summer solstice marks the longest day of the year but also marching us towards Fall every single day. Also our days will be getting shorter so summer can suck it...

Love those 90 by 9am mornings! When you can really enjoy the heat for hours and hours the entire day. LFG!

Yes, we live in a continental climate, the influence of the ocean is limited and in such a situation comes in only after the high temperature has already been reached.

Either way, whatever the high temperature is, it's going to be seen as a referendum on the effects of climate change on our area in terms of summertime high temperatures. Let's see how much climate change has really affected our high temperatures in the summer. JFK hit 99 on May 29, 1969 and 98 on June 19, 1994. Let's see if CC has made enough of a difference to beat those records, sea breeze or not.

HRRR rips damage thru region and NAM says HHH . Probably need to sell HRRR https://x.com/eweather13/status/1936165616903225673?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

A sustained period of above normal temperatures is now underway. Temperatures will top out in the middle 80s tomorrow. Afterward, the heat will come roaring back on Sunday with the mercury soaring into the 90s across the region. Excessive heat is likely Monday, Tuesday, and possibly Wednesday Temperatures will likely top out in the middle and upper 90s in the New York City area and upper 90s to lower 100s in the hot spots in New Jersey. There remains some uncertainty about the magnitude of the heat. The ECMWF continues to show potential June monthly record heat for parts of the region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.05°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late summer. The SOI was -6.89 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.245 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 83% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8° (1.8° above normal).

Yea I can recall many times in the past where it's 90+ degrees with a southerly wind off the water in June, and that's in modest heat waves

So, are we gonna get wet tonight or tomorrow?

Would expect sea breezes each day, can still make a run at 100 before 1pm

BDL may stay AOA 80 one of those nights. This one’s shaping up to be special

Second one is June 19, 1994 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KJFK/date/1994-6-19 12:00 PM 97 °F 65 °F 35 % NW 10 mph 0 mph 29.93 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 1:00 PM 98 °F 67 °F 36 % N 12 mph 0 mph 29.93 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 2:00 PM 95 °F 67 °F 40 % N 13 mph 0 mph 29.92 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 3:00 PM 94 °F 67 °F 41 % N 9 mph 21 mph 29.91 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 4:00 PM 92 °F 66 °F 42 % N 14 mph 0 mph 29.91 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy 5:00 PM 88 °F 68 °F 51 % W 8 mph 0 mph 29.92 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy 6:00 PM 92 °F 70 °F 48 % NE 15 mph 0 mph 29.92 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 7:00 PM 90 °F 67 °F 46 % NE 13 mph 0 mph 29.93 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy

Some 110+ heat indices have to be in play.

Seabreezes typically don't come in until after 4 pm. Two early season situations I found for JFK, both close to 100. First is May 29, 1969 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KJFK/date/1969-5-29 2:00 PM 97 °F 63 °F 32 % WNW 8 mph 0 mph 29.67 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy 3:00 PM 98 °F 62 °F 30 % WNW 18 mph 0 mph 29.65 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy 4:00 PM 99 °F 63 °F 30 % W 17 mph 0 mph 29.62 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 5:00 PM 97 °F 62 °F 31 % W 17 mph 0 mph 29.61 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 6:00 PM 88 °F 66 °F 48 % WSW 15 mph 0 mph 29.59 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 7:00 PM 88 °F 63 °F 43 % WSW 14 mph 0 mph 29.60 in 0.0 in Fair

Good luck. I’ll be in Boston on Monday and Tuesday. Not days to go to the cities.

Yeah I suppose the speed,track etc. of the MCS/convection in the morning plays a big part in how models heat us up later

Temps or dews?

Yes and I think they're talking about blue green algae which is actually a form of bacteria that is photosynthetic.

the seabreeze doesn't work that way though, the sea breeze comes in well after it has hit 100 in such a scenario, so you can easily be 100+ at 12 noon and the sea breeze comes in at like 4 pm, thats how it usually works around here.

Some models are pretty warm. I think MOS even had upper 90s.