Well its hard to think the models suggesting snow for us were right given the current temp/dp however just west of Raleigh DP are in the 20's if that air works in then who knows.....My earlier hope for this event are waning and I guess I will hope to see good news when I wake up.
dp still around 50 here, some mid 40's coming in from the south, Kinston has 46, Kenansville same, so likely going to be driven by rates in the morning, if we do in fact mix or changeover for a period. 3km HRRR consistent every run painting an inch or so through here. Doubt see how the nam and GFS AF that far out in left field with the SN maps. Either the models SN products are really off, or we do in fact see some tokens out of this, who knows. Not much invested in this one, kind of a novelty tracking over the last 48hrs. 0z EC has us below 0 at 850 by 7am, around 3-4 tenths fall thereafter. Should be done by noon. Need the rain, seeding some grass yesterday in anticipation of it. Be nice to see a surprise with ptype, been awhile since we have had one, but they do happen from time to time around here. Even last year when mhx got 6 or 7, the models did not have them changing over till late afternoon, and it was marginal, yet it started around mid day and temps did not make it out of the upper 20's for them, we were hanging out eating mexican while the coast got crushed. Stayed up too late, need sleep, later
Edit: airport just picked up a n wind, dp down 9 degrees in the past 45 minutes