dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 look out upstate NY ...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 OMG at gfs 138, storm of 93?? HOLY CRAP looks like mostly rain.....that happens with these cutoffs, the cold source is also cut off. Of course that's reading the gfs literally. Point is, it's finally showing a significant storm in that time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'm hoping for that west trend LOL, but of course there s a 2% chance of that occurring. We have a chance...we could sneak into this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looking at hour 138, there is a lot less blocking tho.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'm hoping for that west trend LOL, but of course there s a 2% chance of that occurring. it absolutely could if it phased and the timing is different with that piece on the backside of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 OMG at gfs 138, storm of 93?? HOLY CRAP Well it was looking good this run for Mid-Atlantic until the GFS went GOM/Gulf Stream bombastic and and developed its very own height field. That would be a big rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 it absolutely could if it phased and the timing is different with that piece on the backside of the trough. The only reason it bombs is the Gulf Stream/GOM. I don't think it is possible to come W under this height field configuration and projected thermal fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 look out upstate NY ...wow Going to Utica, Ny lOL watch.. My aunties house, if we cant get a storm here, ill travel to where the storm is LMFAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looking at hour 138, there is a lot less blocking tho.. Thats what I was thinking that theres a lack of blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Not a lot of arctic air for the storm tho, seems like that banana high kind of weakens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Going to Utica, Ny lOL watch.. My aunties house, if we cant get a storm here, ill travel to where the storm is LMFAO If I wasnt married and had children I would follow snowstorms all winter long! seriously I would Id be like a dead head that follows storms instead of concerts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'm never going to forget that TRIPLE PHASER a few years back. WOW was I excited, and before I knew it, the storm took a **** and was gone (dissipated) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The only reason it bombs is the Gulf Stream/GOM. I don't think it is possible to come W under this height field configuration and projected thermal fields. that scenario i agree. THAT scenario. But i still feel this eventually will play out as wet in the big cities and a snowstorm further west. Just a hunch. How west? who knows, Phasing with no block ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 If I wasnt married and had children I would follow snowstorms all winter long! seriously I would Id be like a dead head that follows storms instead of concerts YEYE winter storm chasing.. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Pretty tough to motivate myself to get interested in this "threat". Looks like a needle in the haystack, thread the needle, whatever else the fudge you wanna call it low probability occurence. Keep the clippers and LES scraps coming and I'll eke out an average snowfall winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Waiting for my arctic front to move through as we speak .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Waiting for my arctic front to move through as we speak .. I am pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Pretty tough to motivate myself to get interested in this "threat". Looks like a needle in the haystack, thread the needle, whatever else the fudge you wanna call it low probability occurence. Keep the clippers and LES scraps coming and I'll eke out an average snowfall winter. a lot wacky things and players on the field in the upper levels for sure. But to me, that's what makes this kind of interesting. We probably won't know what's going to happen until 72 hrs or less. That alone should keep your interest. Buck up dammit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I am pumped. Snow is picking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snow is picking up It will fall apart before it gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 a lot wacky things and players on the field in the upper levels for sure. But to me, that's what makes this kind of interesting. We probably won't know what's going to happen until 72 hrs or less. That alone should keep your interest. Buck up dammit It'll have to really be clear and convincing that this is a legit threat before I start to pay closer attention. I think I'm suffering from mid-winter exhaustion tracking these smaller (but frequent) type events. Just don't have the energy to dissect meteorologically threats that probably have a <5% chance of verifying. Doesn't mean I won't read though, so keep the discussion coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It will fall apart before it gets here. Do you have some sort of connection with Jerry Hodak or did you just randomly put him as your avatar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It'll have to really be clear and convincing that this is a legit threat before I start to pay closer attention. I think I'm suffering from mid-winter exhaustion tracking these smaller (but frequent) type events. Just don't have the energy to dissect meteorologically threats that probably have a <5% chance of verifying. Doesn't mean I won't read though, so keep the discussion coming. well admittedly i still have my fresh 4" glow I don't know, (i hate saying it), but i have a good feeling about next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Do you have some sort of connection with Jerry Hodak or did you just randomly put him as your avatar? He's a legend and a good friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 He's a legend and a good friend. HAHAHAHHAHAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 well admittedly i still have my fresh 4" glow I don't know, (i hate saying it), but i have a good feeling about next week. I kind of do 2.... :./ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Gem is dry to nam has to be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 fwiw: 0z gaps is further w than the gfs...almost the same track the 12Z jma had and taking it to NY state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This pattern is so odd to me. It's almost like the ec storms are bringing down continous cold air and leaving behind energy that kills the potential for any storm until it hits the coast. How do we end this pattern? This should be happening in an el nino season not a la nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 well admittedly i still have my fresh 4" glow I don't know, (i hate saying it), but i have a good feeling about next week. I have no real reason but I think I feel this one as well.... just sit back and watch run after run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.