dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 In the end, not a whole lot different from the 12z run. Although maybe a bit skimpier on QPF, especially on the northern fringes. Yea, no longer holding back the energy though. Guess we'll have to see what the 12z brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 take it from 60 chicago, he's onto the EC now.. Says its a little more amplified than 12z.. Yeah, I'm not seeing a little more amplified...even for the EC through 84 hours. If anything, it's a little weaker and farther SE out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Not particularly, considering it is just a wave on the northern stream, sorta like a clipper. yea, well unfortunately I cant see the model, I just read whats written lol.. Onto 6z runs lol.. I wont be sleeping much. Just hope like hell the NAM holds its ground and wins out.. Not likely though. And the gfs took a step back. EURO doesnt budge. Ukie is a compromise of the nam and the gfs, and the ggem is closer to the nam without a full phase.. UGH.. Model Mayhem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yeah, I'm not seeing a little more amplified...even for the EC through 84 hours. If anything, it's a little weaker and farther SE out that way. Yea he changed and in the end said it was identical to the 12z. I'd like to pay to get em but just not worth it to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 00Z Euro STL: .43 PIA: .21 DBQ: .02 ORD: .03 BTL: .11 DET: .12 LAF: .25 IND: .33 SFD: .27 PAH: .22 TOL: .16 DAY: .34 CMH: .32 PIT: .26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Pretty meh run from here to the East Coast...well compared to the NAM and GGEM anyway. It's just a northern stream 2-5" system for a lot of folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 00Z Euro STL: .43 PIA: .21 DBQ: .02 ORD: .03 BTL: .11 DET: .12 LAF: .25 IND: .33 SFD: .27 PAH: .22 TOL: .16 DAY: .34 CMH: .32 PIT: .26 not horrible. Where is Buckeye and his nogaps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 someone had beat ya too it earlier today lol look at part 2 : LOL Half the country wiped out haha Day after tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 YYZ: .10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Congrats to Friv again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yea, no longer holding back the energy though. Guess we'll have to see what the 12z brings. CMH precip went down from .36 to .32, but CVG went up to .37 from .33 so very little change. Still a solid 5 or 6 inches. 0.29" for ZZV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Euro loves the east coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 00Z Euro STL: .43 PIA: .21 DBQ: .02 ORD: .03 BTL: .11 DET: .12 LAF: .25 IND: .33 SFD: .27 PAH: .22 TOL: .16 DAY: .34 CMH: .32 PIT: .26 to funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Pffft, your so pessimistic nowadays. Maybe the Euro will provide some suger later on in the run. It has a dying clipper coming down Friday night/Saturday morning. Does that count? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 jma FWIW, which isnt much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I know this isn't the thread but if the euro has the 2nd storm like the gem and GFS do...day 5-7 someone let us know the qpf for that please if your up, if not, thank you for the 1st storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 any qpf from the system on day 6-7 on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 any qpf from the system on day 6-7 on the euro? See the January thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You sure you want to know? The euro is as dysfunctional as the GFS with it. I know this, the crude 24 hour maps tell me a few things. there is enough h7 and h850 moisture to tell me at 144 its snowing in STL while the vort max is weak and south...it still is shows decent vorticity..and there is a H7 closed low with weak convergence over the area. gotta have something and its cold..all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 This place really cleared out after the Euro told the NAM to shove it lol. It is probably more of a function of the early AM time than Dr. No still saying no. Worth mentioning is it made a positive trend with the western wave and is closer to a phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 ya i think its also the time for the eastern tmz posters, getting close to 2 in the morning. I always love watching tv or something realizing the nam/gfs has been running (which i don't refresh at 2 minutes intervals to get the latest 6hr forecast) when i know nothing of interest is coming my way, and i casually glance over the models (nam) in this case and getting to the increased cyclogenesis/phasing which leads to a really big storm and jump over to the forum to see about 4 pages added in about 20 minutes. Even not being involved in the storm i like to see my old group of posters get excited (GL/OV crew) I hope everything pans out for you guys, even though i drove through the 2008 blizzard in ohio on the way back from spring break and i've decided that the state of ohio should receive a 10 year ban on good snowstorms after driving through that monster 2 days after, and the roads were barely passable then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 It is probably more of a function of the early AM time than Dr. No still saying no. Worth mentioning is it made a positive trend with the western wave and is closer to a phase. i take the time to type up a message and you beat me to it......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 ya i think its also the time for the eastern tmz posters, getting close to 2 in the morning. I always love watching tv or something realizing the nam/gfs has been running (which i don't refresh at 2 minutes intervals to get the latest 6hr forecast) when i know nothing of interest is coming my way, and i casually glance over the models (nam) in this case and getting to the increased cyclogenesis/phasing which leads to a really big storm and jump over to the forum to see about 4 pages added in about 20 minutes. Even not being involved in the storm i like to see my old group of posters get excited (GL/OV crew) I hope everything pans out for you guys, even though i drove through the 2008 blizzard in ohio on the way back from spring break and i've decided that the state of ohio should receive a 10 year ban on good snowstorms after driving through that monster 2 days after, and the roads were barely passable then. yea, good amount of snow. 22" in Fredericktown, where I lived at the time. Only bad part of that storm, if you wanna find a bad thing about it, was the winds that were forecasted never showed up, so it wasnt a blizzard. Just a lot of snow.. lol.. Oh and it was a pin to shovel.. Heavy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 yea, good amount of snow. 22" in Fredericktown, where I lived at the time. Only bad part of that storm, if you wanna find a bad thing about it, was the winds that were forecasted never showed up, so it wasnt a blizzard. Just a lot of snow.. lol.. Oh and it was a pin to shovel.. Heavy stuff. we came up 75 on that saturday? I think it was 2 days after the storm but it was a nightmare from cincy and everything north for about 120 miles. 1 lane was open on 75 for most of the way and we had to of seen at least a few hundred cars off the road. Off course most of those had to have been the J.A.'s trying to pass in the unplowed right lane (I believe only the center lane was clear and the right lane was semi plowed but the left lane was practically untouchable) but it was crazy it was literally a wall of spin outs/cops/ambulances/plows for like 3 hours. I was jealous, plus what was that 2 day storm that slammed cleveland or some part of ohio with about 20 inches of snow it was mostly an overrunning event but that was another recent extreme storm you guys have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 looks like solid 3-7 inch amounts for nebraska/northeasten kansas wednesday (a bummer though considering 3pm shift at NWS was super close to putting out a winter storm watch for average amounts close to 6 inches) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioValleyWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Interesting to see how the models will play out over the next couple of runs. I think phasing is going to make an attempt to hit the eastern OV with heavy snows. The central OV will be close. I think around 6" can fall but that is taking a blend of everything. The Euro I do believe is closer to phasing but QPF usually is the last to catch up. Maybe they just stay separate enough not to introduce a pronounced enhanced area. The encouraging side is that it does appear the general consensus of modeling came closer to a phasing solution but until it is for sure then who cares what it shows. Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 New NAM is rolling on out. Let's see if we get another good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 New NAM is rolling on out. Let's see if we get another good hit. im hitting the pillow now..not staying up for this one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.