October 2026 Medium/Long Range

[Paleocene]

Sunday looking like diddly squat in terms of moisture. Potentially more tonight/tomorrow am? But looks hit and miss.

[Interstate]

26 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Sunday looking like diddly squat in terms of moisture. Potentially more tonight/tomorrow am? But looks hit and miss.

Push that front south... I want to play some baseball

[Ji]

GFS got very wet tonight and early tomorrow morning again

[Benjamn3]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

GFS got very wet tonight and early tomorrow morning again

 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z EURO for weekend.

[LP08]

AI euro has been pretty much just noise shifts since about 120 hours out for Sunday.  It did great with the nor’easter too.  I’ll ride with that.

[mitchnick]

Don't know if anyone noticed, but many of the MR models are showing a big hit of BN over the Conus east of the Mississippi at the end of their runs for the past few days. 18z EuroAi and Gfs are pretty impressive with 12z support on the Gefs and Geps.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=360

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=384

Edit: Euro weeklies are on board too as the first 3 weeks (surprisingly) are BN in much of the east.

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

[Interstate]

14 hours ago, LP08 said:

AI euro has been pretty much just noise shifts since about 120 hours out for Sunday.  It did great with the nor’easter too.  I’ll ride with that.

I think the NAM did the best with the track of the nor’easter. I believe it was the first to hook it back to the coast. 

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, Interstate said:

I think the NAM did the best with the track of the nor’easter. I believe it was the first to hook it back to the coast. 

Speaking of the Nam, I  just saw in the NE forum the NWS has extended its life until 11/3.