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Fall 2026 Med/Long range discussion


Brian D
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1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

ensembles rock solid on positive anomalies in our source region and the pac jet about to start doing classic nino things out west 

 

With it juicing things up will be interesting to see how our mini Nov Tornado season evolves. This current strong incoming system is just a few instabilities short of generating low topped 60mph rotating SUP's. November, the month where the Chaser becomes the Chasee lol

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17 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Deep extended about as locked in as it gets 

 

 

 

The same groups that chastised the (cold) Euro weeklies last winter for their expected inaccuracy is now tweeting day 45 lol.:lol:

Day 45, btw, which shows temps slightly above avg in the north, average mid, and slightly below avg in the south, versus day which is above avg everywhere. Not to mention averages are some 13-20° warmer today than Dec 17th lol. 

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Just looking through Nov with my modelling method. Obviously mild wet conditions during this 1st week, but drying out the 2nd week with temps generally nearer avg. 3rd week looks similar to the 1st. And as we end the month, that looks more seasonable to cooler with our first real taste of winter wx. 

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56 minutes ago, Brian D said:

Just looking through Nov with my modelling method. Obviously mild wet conditions during this 1st week, but drying out the 2nd week with temps generally nearer avg. 3rd week looks similar to the 1st. And as we end the month, that looks more seasonable to cooler with our first real taste of winter wx. 

What does your modeling method show for December?

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