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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread


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I could see that in Denver or Cheyenne in Sept.

On 8/10/2026 at 2:43 PM, dwagner88 said:

Interesting point forecast for Friday.

Screenshot 2026-08-10 144221.png

Meanwhile for Tennessee all I see through next week is teaser fronts on MCS outflow, quickly retreating north to the Ohio River or farther. If the ECMWF is right we get a Tuesday tease next week. Then, back to the blast furnace! 

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15 minutes ago, 1234snow said:

Those were some crazy storms in Kingsport area. I got back home across state line and not a drop. A huge severe thunderstorm warning area was just issued though for almost all of SWVA. Area of rotation with tornado warning for Pikeville.

They are setting watch boxes well out in front of this next line.  Southwest VA bout to get hammered.  I almost have a severe thunderstorm warning over MBY and the storms are just now exiting KY.  

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They are setting watch boxes well out in front of this next line.  Southwest VA bout to get hammered.  I almost have a severe thunderstorm warning over MBY and the storms are just now exiting KY.  

It has been a while since warnings have covered that large of an area. The line was moving it. It has came though Gate City/Weber City area. Wind isn’t too bad at least.

I don’t feel the HRRR handled today’s earlier convection and MCS well at all.
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9 hours ago, 1234snow said:

Part of the line is now bowing to the southwest following the outflow boundary which is also going southwest from Morristown to Knoxville. I find that interesting.

That was an unusual MCS. It’s like it kept moving SE but storms kept developing on outflow boundaries that were pushing SW. Then quite a bit of convection just developed ahead of the main line to the west and SW of Knoxville extending all the way back to middle TN. That looked like some really intense rainfall and lightning around Knox Co. last night around 10-11 PM. Here I picked up 0.79, but some places had alot more. Now, there is another one knocking on the door again this morning. FFW today for a good chunk of E TN.

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