ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Both ai and eps ensemble west of 18z. Someone seems interested now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: Note those totals include Friday/night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 My p/c for Friday night calls for 3-5"; ZFP "moderate accumulations". I'll have to bask in that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6z GFS looking better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Eastern Maryland and southern NJ getting destroyed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 We get another bump like that at 12z we blizzard! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Eastern Ma getting nailed but the rest of us getting a good storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6z GFS AI slightly west of 12z but just brushes eastern areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 It’s weird, the actual track sort of dances around. West, northwest, southwest, then northeast of the previous run but looks overall less squashed on the northwest side. Allowing better dynamics to back in, intact? Track is definitely better early on but isn’t a huge difference by the time it’s impacting us. But maybe, if it isn't getting elongated in an unfavorable direction could actually have the fabled west death band as it expands. Another way it could work out if the track stays a little too far away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 That’s a blizzard here 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: That was a very good run overall. Solid 30-40mi bump N/NW in the closed Low at 500. Looks like the GEFS should bump NW early on. The Machine was only a tick or so better, funny how far SE that went and were watching it correct back NW after it ran over HFD a couple days ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a blizzard here Do it! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a blizzard here not happening james 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Good to see euro ai on board at least. This whole setup still doesn’t sit comfortably with me though. Like we’re waiting for the rug to really get pulled. Hopefully 6z euro and euro ai on board. We don’t need massive bumps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good to see euro ai on board at least. This whole setup still doesn’t sit comfortably with me though. Like we’re waiting for the rug to really get pulled. Hopefully 6z euro and euro ai on board. We don’t need massive bumps. The Euro has been adamantly stubborn, so well see if it ever catches on, or we reach a middle ground somewhere SE of the BM that teases everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I believe that GFS when the EURO comes out soon. Beware of the off hour waffles. Mmmmm. Breakfast… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Looks like the whole cluster on the 6Z GEFS shifted NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just need 150 more miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 If this comes far enough west and I get 6 inches of subbyhole sand this winter will be an instant F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, JJBASHB said: If this comes far enough west and I get 6 inches of subbyhole sand this winter will be an instant F. i'll never understand this mentality, so you'd rather have 0" than 6 because your neighbor gets more/buried? If that verified verbatim i'd be more than happy with 7 inches if Coastal gets 18" and a full blizz. I'd be jealous but certainly wouldn't trade it for P. Sunny. Another warning event is a win 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: i'll never understand this mentality, so you'd rather have 0" than 6 because your neighbor gets more/buried? If that verified verbatim i'd be more than happy with 7 inches if Coastal gets 18" and a full blizz. I'd be jealous but certainly wouldn't trade it for P. Sunny. Another warning event is a win Gfs actually threw a def band well inland too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Hopefully I come out of the gym to weenies taking off clothes to 6z euro and euro ai. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs actually threw a def band well inland too. Yeah i saw that on MLs well into the Berks. QPF doesn't reflect that well with a hole over the CTRV, if only that can hold or improve would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 13 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: i'll never understand this mentality, so you'd rather have 0" than 6 because your neighbor gets more/buried? If that verified verbatim i'd be more than happy with 7 inches if Coastal gets 18" and a full blizz. I'd be jealous but certainly wouldn't trade it for P. Sunny. Another warning event is a win Oh, it was sarcasm. Couched in some anticipation that it might be banded in nature if this is LBSW and expanding as it gets here. Honestly I’d be happy but also disappointed for my own experience and ready for warmth, easy commutes, and running around with the kids. I think that’s part of the reality and fun on the hobbyist side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a blizzard here Looks like Jan 22...lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Euro ai similar to 0z to my untrained eye, perhaps slightly se? But solid precip shield in sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Op way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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