snowman19 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This TC/MJO progression is going to initiate a massive WWB with a constructively interfering ERW at the end of this month into July. Another (new) DWKW guaranteed to follow. And we have a developing +IOD. I’m more convinced than ever that this event will easily be stronger than any El Niño we’ve seen since 1950 in both RONI and traditional ONI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakePaste25 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 36 minutes ago, GaWx said: I predict that R 3.4 and R 1+2 will be up to +1.1/+2.4 in tomorrow’s weekly update. These would be up from the +0.9/+2.1 of last Monday’s report. CRW is already at +1.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Ever had a La Nina this east based? About 2 years ago, I did the composites on the moderate and strong la ninas. 1975-76 was the closest to being east based of the strong la ninas. 1949-50 is probably the best example of an east based la nina, with 1970-71 and 1984-85 possibly being east based. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The Jamstec. My new favorite seasonal model...so far. https://www.jamstec.go.jp/aplinfo/sintexf/e/seasonal/outlook.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakePaste25 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 48 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: About 2 years ago, I did the composites on the moderate and strong la ninas. 1975-76 was the closest to being east based of the strong la ninas. 1949-50 is probably the best example of an east based la nina, with 1970-71 and 1984-85 possibly being east based. I consider 2021-2022 to be an east-based La Niña. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakePaste25 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I know @bluewave brings this up a lot, but I will forever be fascinated by the clean phase 8 pass through in January 2022. With all of the competing Nina forcing going on, I don’t know how we pulled that off especially during an actual Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakePaste25 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 hours ago, bluewave said: Big shift to a negative tendency last few days as we see a more Niña-like pattern again for a time near the end of the month. Not that unusual in super Nino events. I wouldn’t expect 24/7 +AAM and it’ll probably bounce back quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 9 minutes ago Share Posted 9 minutes ago Not that unusual in super Nino events. I wouldn’t expect 24/7 +AAM and it’ll probably bounce back quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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