2026-2027 Super El Nino

[40/70 Benchmark]

Copernicus seasonal mean seems to have a New Foundland cold pool in November.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Copernicus seasonal mean seems to have a New Foundling cold pool in November.

Preceding Atlantic SSTA for following cold season NAO

I find May-Sept is the best because it has that positive correlation around Greenland which you can play vs SSTA south of New Foundland

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Preceding Atlantic SSTA for following cold season NAO

I find May-Sept is the best because it has that positive correlation around Greenland which you can play vs SSTA south of New Foundland

It's camped there from July-through September, too.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

+1.4 on Tropical Tidbits

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just stating to dig into ENSO in depth now that we are beyond the spring barrier, and this isn't like 1997 per EMI....FWIW. Very similar to 2015. Stronger version of 2015. WWB looks to be hitting kind of a barrier in region 3 for now, so this looks to end to remain basin-wide...I am betting 1.2 has peaked for awhile....not saying much given how warm it is, I know.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Basin-Wide has a wide degree of variation...can end up with an east0based pattern, like 2023, or more Modoki  like, per 1957 and 1965.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Basin-Wide has a wide degree of variation...can end up with an east0based pattern, like 2023, or more Modoki  like, per 1957 and 1965.

65-66 had a -PNA?