2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino

[GaWx]

Comparing Oct 1st with Oct 29th, neither 3.4 nor 1+2 have changed much:

 

 

But Nino 3 has had a steady rise:

Nino 4 ended up ~same but that’s because after a 1st half drop it had a sharp rise last 5 days:

[chris21]

Either way it's no snow so warmer and sunnier would be far preferable. 
 

Dec 97 had plenty of snow in southern NE and the southern Apps.


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[Prismshine Productions]

Clocks fall back tomorrow btw, tonight will be the last 2am ECMWF (next one after will be at 1am Sunday November 1st)

[jaxjagman]

More like the 97 Nino than anything,by far the Eastern Pac  into the thernocline is nothing comparable right now,you wont find much of a analog and i still would not use 2015,nothing close.While these maps are still Dec,it shouldnt change unelss the MJO just sits the whole month of Nov into the IO,which would be rare in a strong Ninio

[LibertyBell]

44 minutes ago, chris21 said:

Dec 97 had plenty of snow in southern NE and the southern Apps.


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Yes and a record breaking ice storm up north too. Any idea what it did in the Poconos Chris? I was on Long Island for that winter but I'm now at my other house in the Poconos at 1551 feet. I might need to get ready for ice storms up here. I hope not because I have electric heat. I have propane fireplaces too but I don't want to use them unless I really need to.

 

[GaWx]

 Whereas the progged drop in the 10 hPa 60N winds is quite impressive, the progged overall temp. rise of the 60-90N region at 10 hPa (~5-6C and only to ~-57C vs early Nov record of -43C and others in Jan/Feb rising 15-20C) is not because it is mainly on the Russian side with less on our side of the pole:

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

So no hopes are going to get dashed since expectations were lowered in accordance to how extreme an east based event this has become. 

I'm not as resigned to a bottom-dweller season as you are.