2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

none of your little indicies are going to stop the displaced pac vortex from flooding the country with marine air all winter

Winter cancel ?

[Keith Central PA]

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

This is by far the strongest signal for a warm December since 2015

A +12 month with Christmas Day at 70..I doubt we see that but who knows?

[PhiEaglesfan712]

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

This is by far the strongest signal for a warm December since 2015

Yeah, there are years when you just sniff out a warm December. 2015, 2021, and 2023 were pretty obvious. The Weather Channel had these predicted months in advance. This year looks like that way as well. 2026 would make it the 4 warmest Decembers ever in 12 years.

[snowman19]

A +12 month with Christmas Day at 70..I doubt we see that but who knows?

Nowhere in that post did I say as warm as 2015, I said “the strongest warm December signal since 2015”

[Keith Central PA]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Winter cancel ?

I'm sure they'll be winter weather sometime between late November and late March. Just expect much of the winter to have temps above normal. Probably lots of rain.

[Keith Central PA]

5 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Nowhere in that post did I say as warm as 2015, I said “the strongest warm December signal since 2015”

A good indication will be late October and early November, that's when the torch began leading to that insane Decmber month..Lets see if we see that in a few weeks

[PhiEaglesfan712]

12 minutes ago, Keith Central PA said:

A good indication will be late October and early November, that's when the torch began leading to that insane Decmber month..Lets see if we see that in a few weeks

2021 and 2023 were warm in October and cool in November before torching in December. Then again, those were -QBO years, with 2021 being a la nina. 2023 was a strong nino.

If I remember correctly, 2015 had a very warm late August and September. October was the odd cool month in the bunch.