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Holston_River_Rambler
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8 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Yeah, noticed that in later modeling. I have saw that advertised and still wind up with accumulaing Snow before changeover as the nose was slower getting 850 Temps above 0C in the NE Valley than Model's Forecasted.  

Thats a inverted trough,its always the worse Nightmare into our

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b1ed9b2a-5568-42bb-bcef-0e58a76bdc0f.gif

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1 minute ago, jaxjagman said:

Thats a inverted trough,its always the worse Nightmare into out forum

b1ed9b2a-5568-42bb-bcef-0e58a76bdc0f.gif

Yeah, I know about those. I've saw some pretty good thumpings ahead of those when deep cold is ahead of them . Model's many times have underestimated the mixing from low level CA upsloping up the Great Valley. Not talking of the whole Forum area here.

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As Carvers has mentioned, LC has had about as good a grasp on this winter’s pattern than anyone and I don’t really see a flaw with his thinking the rest of the way.  I think we transition back to winter around Valentines Day or shortly after.  It seems like V-Day has brought storms or rumors of storms the past few years.

All in all, I do think we’ll have at least one more winter storm to track before we break for spring.  I’ve always given it until March 15th.  After that, I’m ready for spring and warmth.

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