1/30-1/31 Lake Effect Snow Threat - SE WI, NE IL, and NW IN

[A-L-E-K]

only impacting a few of us but no need to keep cluttering the med/long range thread 

going with 3 imby

 

[Malacka11]

If I can walk away with an inch to keep appearances up I'll be happy. Anything above that is bonus money

Hope it'll work out for someone. Seems like quite the long duration event for this side of the lake no?

[A-L-E-K]

27 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Seems like quite the long duration event for this side of the lake no?

band looks wobbly, verbatim the gfs is banger but the euro is naso hyped and the track record of single band events hanging around this side of the lake is rather poor, hence the low-ish call

[mimillman]

2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

only impacting a few of us but no need to keep cluttering the med/long range thread 

going with 3 imby

 

I think reasonable, my plan is to road trip on Saturday/Sunday to where band sets up better residence time 

[homedis]

Agree with all on this. It’s really the more disorganized lake effect/lake enhancement scenarios that we really cash in, these single intense lake effect band scenarios take a lot of luck on this side of the lake. Low expectations but high ceiling for sure.

[A-L-E-K]

9 minutes ago, homedis said:

Agree with all on this. It’s really the more disorganized lake effect/lake enhancement scenarios that we really cash in, these single intense lake effect band scenarios take a lot of luck on this side of the lake. Low expectations but high ceiling for sure.

same, mesolows can and do produce on this side, notably the mke event a few years back 

[Chicago Storm]

congrats southern cook and nw indiana?

[A-L-E-K]

my son has an overnight field trip to the dunes (in winter lol) thurs/fri, bus gonna get stuck in da plume on the way home

[mimillman]

GGEM:

[mimillman]

Time for the crazy HRRR runs 

[Chicago916]

We're all owed at least one run with a peak of 30in somewhere despite not being possible.