The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing

[Nomz]

So, so much better than 12z:

[DDweatherman]

4 minutes ago, Nomz said:

So, so much better than 12z:

How about 18z? 

[jayyy]

Alright .. who’s staying up for the long range 6z NAM?

Kidding. Go to bed ya goddamn degenerates

[Nomz]

2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

How about 18z? 

I'm broke

[Disc]

Just now, jayyy said:

Alright .. who’s staying up for the long range 6z NAM?

Kidding. Go to bed ya goddamn degenerates

I don't have a choice! We're up trying to make a forecast based off these runs, pulling out what little hair we have left. I'll see everyone for the 6z GFS.  

[overcautionisbad]

24 minutes ago, Nomz said:

I was 5

Think I was 20

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Disc said:

I don't have a choice! We're up trying to make a forecast based off these runs, pulling out what little hair we have left. I'll see everyone for the 6z GFS.  

Between this week and last week y'all may as well go bald for awhile 

[Nomz]

I'd rather be where we are now than where we were at 12z or 00z last night. Have a good sleep y'all.

[jayyy]

Likely out on a biggie? Yep.

Can we still get 3-6” of fluff to add to the 6-10” glacier pack around the region? Also yep.

I’m personally not one to sneeze at 3-6 of additional powder in deep winter. I know we’re all big dog hunting, but let’s keep our climo in mind when setting expectations. We *could* end this weekend with over a foot of snowpack CWA wide with more chances on the horizon. That’s fantastic in a niña

[Disc]

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Between this week and last week y'all may as well go bald for awhile 

As Gen Z would say, my hairline is already "chopped".

[jayyy]

I don't have a choice! We're up trying to make a forecast based off these runs, pulling out what little hair we have left. I'll see everyone for the 6z GFS.  

Thank you for your service

[overcautionisbad]

I had chatgpt make this

[SNOWCREATURE1]

I know everybody is either depressed or biting their nails, so I thought I'd show this heartening tweet

https://x.com/HuffmanHeadsUp/status/2016378076901281901/photo/1

[overcautionisbad]

3 minutes ago, SNOWCREATURE1 said:

I know everybody is either depressed or biting their nails, so I thought I'd show this heartening tweet

https://x.com/HuffmanHeadsUp/status/2016378076901281901/photo/1

What about the other 2 he doesn't mention?

[jayyy]

I know everybody is either depressed or biting their nails, so I thought I'd show this heartening tweet
https://x.com/HuffmanHeadsUp/status/2016378076901281901/photo/1

Bold statement lol. Wouldn’t want to die on that hill

[jayyy]

It’ll be interesting to see how things look at 12z tomorrow as new data is ingested fully

Certainly encouraging to see every model trend west up top at 0z. Perhaps the downstream impacts of that will show itself tomorrow and beyond. Perhaps it won’t.

[SNOWCREATURE1]

1 minute ago, overcautionisbad said:

What about the other 2 he doesn't mention?

Jeff Huffman

 

@HuffmanHeadsUp

Here are the top 15:

1. 20160123/1200

2. 20101226/1800

3. 19960108/0000

4. 20100303/0600

5. 19960216/1800

6. 20210202/0000

7. 19890224/0000

8. 19800303/0000

9. 20020103/1800

10. 20090120/1800

11. 20220129/0600

12. 20090302/0600

13. 20040310/1200

14. 19830311/1200

15. 19891224/0600

 

------

 

FYI, he's with Baron Weather, a weather radar firm in Huntsville, Alabama.

[SNOWCREATURE1]

4 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Bold statement lol. Wouldn’t want to die on that hill

Agreed - calling for a repeat of those storms is just a bit premature! The GFS vs. the world disconnect is really frustrating. Hoping for a consensus tomorrow.

[jayyy]

Agreed - calling for a repeat of those storms is just a bit premature! The GFS vs. the world disconnect is really frustrating. Hoping for a consensus tomorrow.

Goal post will tighten later today - crazy thing is they are already very tight. Very minute changes are causing pretty large surface differences. H5 trended better across guidance today. We can only hope the surface follows suite tomorrow

[Eskimo Joe]

 

1 hour ago, Nomz said:

So, so much better than 12z:

Deeper and further west. We're so close.

[Duca892]

2 hours ago, SNOWCREATURE1 said:

I know everybody is either depressed or biting their nails, so I thought I'd show this heartening tweet

https://x.com/HuffmanHeadsUp/status/2016378076901281901/photo/1

That’s uh quite the hill to die on lol

[Roger Smith]

06z NAM seems a bit slower and weaker by end of run than its 00z counterpart was. Probably not much of a clue since it hadn't reached the explosive development phase by 18z Saturday. 

[Weather Will]

Well, GFS is running....

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z GFS thru HR 30 looks about the same so far.

[Weather Will]

Hr 45 still looks like a hold

[Weather Will]

HR 57 still looks same to me.

[Weather Will]

HR 66 

[Weather Will]

Hr 75

[Disc]

6z with the goods again, but still a C VA special. It's locked in..

[Weather Will]

HR 87