eduggs Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, MJO812 said: Snowy gfs run Verbatim one of the best 10-day runs of the season. Several snow threats in there. But there are no slam dunks or easy wins in that run. Could be several hits or several misses. Low margins as usual. Before I get excited about the mid- or long-range I'm pulling for a 2-4" event Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Even the UK is waking up at least a little... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, eduggs said: Verbatim one of the best 10-day runs of the season. Several snow threats in there. But there are no slam dunks or easy wins in that run. Could be several hits or several misses. Low margins as usual. Before I get excited about the mid- or long-range I'm pulling for a 2-4" event Sunday night. The negative PNA should help us out as long as the blocking also helps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The negative PNA should help us out as long as the blocking also helps. you see that arctic blast on the gfs around the 27th? that's some serious cold. GFS doesn't give no warm up besides tomorrow and next week for a couple of days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 15 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: can you share? https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022438348405481832?s=46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, nycsnow said: https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022438348405481832?s=46 dude that's a 6-12 inches! amazing thank you 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GEFS with a big north shift ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: TORCH!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 In case folks didn't see the big snowstorm on the GRAF; courtesy of Jeff Berardelli... https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022432636526883311 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 20 minutes ago, nycsnow said: https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022438348405481832?s=46 The self appointed WxTwitter hall monitor does not approve. https://x.com/i/status/2022447652550402496 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 AIFS not as robust, but still a nice hit... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z Euro north but very light 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z Graf is 12 plus for NYC north. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, MJO812 said: 18z Graf is 12 plus for NYC north. Come on Ant? Really? The Graf? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, MJO812 said: 18z Graf is 12 plus for NYC north. never happening but if it did it would go down as one of the biggest positive 48 hr busts of all time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: never happening but if it did it would go down as one of the biggest positive 48 hr busts of all time boxing day would top that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Come on Ant? Really? The Graf? A few TV meteorologists posted on Twitter lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Come on Ant? Really? The Graf? Tons of professionals use IBM's GRAF model - not sure what your issue with it is. I wish Pivotal/TT and others had it and Weathernext (Google's AI model) available. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Come on Ant? Really? The Graf? They are already showing it on TV. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 what the heck....a few days ago people were in here talking about how winter is over, or snow is done, its too dry, and i even read a piece in nj.com that we are near drought conditions....well we shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: They are already showing it on TV. now i know it won't happen.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: They are already showing it on TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: A few TV meteorologists posted on Twitter lol Trying to get clicks. At most it's a sloppy 2-3" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: what the heck....a few days ago people were in here talking about how winter is over, or snow is done, its too dry, and i even read a piece in nj.com that we are near drought conditions....well we shall see... we are in drought conditions-that's a face-some places moderate drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Trying to get clicks. At most it's a sloppy 2-3" if it trends north it's not, it'll be way below freezing with the dynamics 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I grade this winter a B If that Montauk mauler last week was 50 miles west it would be borderline A 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I grade this winter a B If that Montauk mauler last week was 50 miles west it would be borderline A This is by far the most talked about winter so I would grade it a (A-) only because we should have 50-60 inches so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: if it trends north it's not, it'll be way below freezing with the dynamics You're the ultimate weenie. It could show snow in August an you'd say it's got a chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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