donsutherland1 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rgem looks way better than the Nam and looks decent. Yes. That’s true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Its coming Completely agree 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 i'll be waiting for the euro tonight, work will be there tomorrow anyway. GFS next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Would be cool if gfs and ai showed a hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, nycsnow said: Would be cool if gfs and ai showed a hit Unlikely, but we watch. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, Nibor said: Unlikely, but we watch. Even a euro scenario would be good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Early on GFS is slightly better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Trof looking better on the GFS too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Gfs is way better than 18z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Having flashbacks to 2010 (despite it being late January) ... I remember it well. Oddly enough, Im not wishcasting for anything near that sort of evolution. My work boats and equipment are currently frozen in place, which is costing me untold thousands of dollars each day, regardless of wintry precipitation. This is a "relatively rare" setup. We just recieved a good storm, and everyone has a decent snowpack in this forum. It has been years since we have seen this type of cold, following a SECS... Generally speaking, we cash in during relaxation of a similar patern. Being a Nina year, this is intriguing. Hope everyone has a moment to sit back and take this in... ...If we do wind up seeing a cold and dry 2 weeks ahead, it will be interesting to find an overal analog year that makes sense of if all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is way better than 18z Favoring the northern and western lows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 24 minutes ago, Rjay said: Completely agree Depends for where. For eastern LI probably, for the rest of the subforum maybe maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Back to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 19 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Even a euro scenario would be good Agree I'd be fine with few inches to whiten the pack even if it's not another major storm. A total miss would be kind of be disappointing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Better but still at least two lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: is that a negative tilt i see, this should explode coming up the coast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 00z gfs total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 00z GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 This might be the worst looking storm I’ve ever seen.. what are these models doing lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 00z ICON Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 00z gfs total QPF 500 doesnt really align well with that output. Seems disjointed. I guess the upstream kicker means business. Strange evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Need to consolidate these lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 it was a little better, we'll take it. Cmc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, nycsnow said: This might be the worst looking storm I’ve ever seen.. what are these models doing lol I've hated this storm all week, I don't like the look and the tight precip shield events. We may still luck out but this is not fun to track IMO because I knew the models would have big problems with this storm lol. Now we in the home stage though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 Just now, Winterweatherlover said: I've hated this storm all week, I don't like the look and the tight precip shield events. We may still luck out but this is not fun to track IMO lol This had/has high-end potential. It's definitely frustrating how it's playing out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, dseagull said: 500 doesnt really align well with that output. Seems disjointed. I guess the upstream kicker means business. Strange evolution. There's like 15 different vortmaxes that all try to form a low along convection. So the storm becomes a disorganized and strung out mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 6 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 00z gfs total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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